{"id":9080,"date":"2024-12-11T22:22:02","date_gmt":"2024-12-11T14:22:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=9080"},"modified":"2024-12-11T22:22:02","modified_gmt":"2024-12-11T14:22:02","slug":"%e3%80%90%e8%b4%9f%e9%9d%a2%e3%80%91bloomberg%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e6%88%96%e4%ba%8e2025%e5%b9%b4%e8%b0%83%e6%95%b4%e6%b1%87%e7%8e%87%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%ef%bc%8c%e8%80%83%e8%99%91%e9%87%87%e7%94%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=9080","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u8d1f\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u6216\u4e8e2025\u5e74\u8c03\u6574\u6c47\u7387\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u91c7\u7528\u5f31\u52bf\u8d27\u5e01\u7b56\u7565"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u6c47\u7387\u5728\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u540e\u663e\u8457\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u6b63\u5728\u8003\u8651\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5141\u8bb8\u672c\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u5a01\u80c1\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u6b63\u5728\u8003\u8651\u8ba9\u8d27\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u964d\u81f3\u6bcf\u7f8e\u5143\u7ea67.5\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u79bb\u5cb8\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u5728\u6d88\u606f\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4e2d\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u6700\u4f4e\u8dcc\u81f37.2921\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u6709\u6240\u56de\u5f39\uff0c\u4f46\u4f9d\u7136\u627f\u538b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e3e\u63aa\u89e6\u53d1\u4e86\u5468\u8fb9\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u5143\u8dcc\u81f3\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e24\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5143\u4e5f\u4e0b\u632b\u81f3\u53bb\u5e7411\u6708\u65f6\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u81ea\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8fde\u4efb\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u6301\u7eed\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u4ed6\u626c\u8a00\u5c06\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u731c\u6d4b\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u653e\u5f03\u7ef4\u6301\u6c47\u7387\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u62b5\u6d88\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u6b64\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u6c47\u4e30\u94f6\u884c\u4f26\u6566\u5206\u884c\u5916\u6c47\u7b56\u7565\u4e3b\u7ba1\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u6709\u5f88\u5f3a\u7684\u7406\u7531\u8868\u660e\u8fd9\u662f\u5408\u7406\u7684\u201d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u4e4f\u529b\uff0c\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u4f4e\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u9002\u5e94\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u201c\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u6210\u672c\u3002\u8fc5\u901f\u8d2c\u503c\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u8d44\u672c\u5916\u6d41\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u66f4\u591a\u8d27\u5e01\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u6076\u6027\u5faa\u73af\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u548c\u503a\u5238\u5e02\u573a\u9020\u6210\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u5a01\u80c1\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u5e76\u635f\u5bb3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u6b63\u9762\u4e34\u957f\u671f\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5371\u673a\u4ee5\u53ca\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u4e0b\u6ed1\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u63d0\u632f\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5df2\u660e\u786e\u8868\u793a\u5c06\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u52a0\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u652f\u6301\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5e76\u627f\u8bfa\u5b9e\u65bd\u66f4\u52a0\u7075\u6d3b\u5bbd\u677e\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u53ca\u66f4\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u5dee\u5f02\u4e5f\u5728\u65bd\u538b\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6cd5\u56fd\u5df4\u9ece\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u9884\u8ba1\u52302025\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u53ef\u80fd\u8d2c\u81f37.45\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u5df4\u514b\u83b1\u8d44\u672c\u5219\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5230\u4eca\u5e74\u4e94\u6708\uff0c\u79bb\u5cb8\u4ea4\u6613\u4e2d\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u5c06\u8dcc\u81f3\u7ea67.6\u3002\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\u9884\u671f\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u79bb\u5cb8\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u5c06\u8d2c\u503c\u81f37.5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u5e02\u573a\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u201c\u8fd9\u662f\u5173\u4e8e\u4f55\u65f6\u4ee5\u53ca\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u7591\u95ee\u201d\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u5426\u8d2c\u503c\u3002\u5f53\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f53\u5c40\u5f00\u59cb\u8003\u8651\u67d0\u4e9b\u4e8b\u60c5\u65f6\uff0c\u5c31\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u4fbf\u662f\u5176\u5b9e\u9645\u884c\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u725b\u6d25\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7b49\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u5ba3\u5e03\u8d38\u6613\u9650\u5236\u63aa\u65bd\u524d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u8fc7\u65e9\u4ecb\u5165\u5e76\u8ba9\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4efd\u8def\u900f\u793e\u62a5\u9053\u5c06\u91cd\u65b0\u805a\u7126\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u4eec\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u201c\u7ba1\u7406\u6c47\u7387\u201d\u7684\u9884\u671f\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u662f\u5317\u4eac\u5f15\u5bfc\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u5e02\u573a\u671f\u671b\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6307\u6807\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u662f\u5141\u8bb8\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u57282%\u7684\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u81ea\u7531\u6d6e\u52a8\u7684\u6807\u51c6\u53c2\u8003\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u81ea\u4ece\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5f53\u9009\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u5143\u51fa\u73b0\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\u4e14\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u9884\u6d4b\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u5bb9\u5fcd\u8d27\u5e01\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d2c\u503c\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u94f6\u884c\u4e00\u76f4\u575a\u6301\u5c06\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u56fa\u5b9a\u6c47\u7387\u8bbe\u5b9a\u5f97\u6bd47.2\u66f4\u201c\u5f3a\u58ee\u201d\u3002\u653e\u4efb\u8fd9\u79cd\u6c47\u7387\u53d8\u52a8\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u5e02\u573a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5df2\u51c6\u5907\u63a5\u53d7\u66f4\u591a\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\uff1b\u800c\u7ef4\u6301\u73b0\u6709\u6c34\u5e73\u5219\u8868\u660e\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u575a\u5b88\u5e95\u7ebf\uff0c\u4e0e\u5916\u754c\u5c55\u5f00\u5bf9\u6297\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u9002\u5ea6\u8d2c\u503c\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u573a\u666f\uff0c\u524d\u63d0\u662f\u8d2c\u503c\u5e45\u5ea6\u4e0d\u8fc7\u5206\u8d85\u8fc7\u975e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d27\u5e01\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u5e94\u6ce8\u610f\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f53\u5c40\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u5141\u8bb8\u672c\u5e01\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u662f\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u9009\u9879\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u4f46\u540c\u65f6\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u5e0c\u671b\u57fa\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u63a8\u6d4b\u4ea7\u751f\u8fc7\u65e9\u7684\u5267\u70c8\u53cd\u5e94\u3002\u8fd9\u5e76\u975e\u653f\u5e9c\u9996\u6b21\u9762\u4e34\u9009\u62e9\uff1a\u5728\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7b2c\u4e00\u4efb\u671f\u5185\u6700\u540e\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5141\u8bb8\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u6c47\u7387\u9996\u5ea6\u8d85\u8d8a\u5fc3\u7406\u95e8\u69db7\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\uff1b2015\u5e748\u6708\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u60ca\u4eba\u5730\u8d2c\u503c\u4e86\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u4ee5\u63d0\u632f\u589e\u957f\u5e76\u6539\u9769\u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u6b64\u4e3e\u8fc5\u901f\u5bfc\u81f4\u8d44\u672c\u5916\u6d41\u6fc0\u589e\uff0c\u8feb\u4f7f\u592e\u884c\u52a8\u7528\u50a8\u5907\u91d1\u7a33\u5b9a\u4e86\u8d27\u5e01\u3002\u8fd9\u6b21\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5e0c\u671b\u63d0\u5347\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u56fd\u9645\u50a8\u5907\u5730\u4f4d\u7684\u5173\u952e\u65f6\u523b\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u53ef\u80fd\u8c28\u614e\u884c\u4e8b\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u9020\u6210\u8fc7\u5927\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u4ef7\u503c\u6ce2\u52a8\u548c\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002 <\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u5206\u6790\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/b>gemma2<br \/><b>\u5f97\u5206\uff1a<\/b>-25<br \/><b>\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre-wrap;font-size: inherit;\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u591a\u6b21\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u548c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\n\u4f8b\u5982\uff1a\n* \u201cdevaluing the yuan can carry huge costs\u201d\n* \u201cA rapid depreciation could lead to aggressive capital outflows, triggering even more currency declines. The downward spiral tends to dent appetite for China stocks and bonds, risks destabilizing financial markets and hurting growth.\u201d\n*  \u201cThe world\u2019s second largest economy is already challenged by a prolonged property crisis and souring consumer sentiment\u201d\n\u8fd9\u4e9b\u63cf\u8ff0\u90fd\u5e26\u6709\u660e\u663e\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u548c\u6d88\u6781\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u4f5c\u8005\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u6301\u8c28\u614e\u6001\u5ea6\u3002\n\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u7ed9\u51fa\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u60c5\u7eea\u5f97\u5206\u662f65\u5206\u3002<\/pre>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2024-12-11\/yuan-slides-on-report-china-considering-weaker-currency-in-2025\" target=\"_blank\">Yuan Slides on Report China Considering Weaker Currency in 2025<\/a><br \/> <b>\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2024-12-11<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 20px 0;\"><div class=\"qrcswholewtapper\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><div class=\"qrcprowrapper\"  id=\"qrcwraa2leds\"><div class=\"qrc_canvass\" id=\"qrc_cuttenpages_2\" style=\"display:inline-block\" data-text=\"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=9080\"><\/div><div><a download=\"\u3010\u8d1f\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u6216\u4e8e2025\u5e74\u8c03\u6574\u6c47\u7387\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u91c7\u7528\u5f31\u52bf\u8d27\u5e01\u7b56\u7565.png\" class=\"qrcdownloads\" id=\"worign\">\r\n           <button type=\"button\" style=\"min-width:200px;background:#44d813;color:#000;font-weight: 600;border: 1px solid #44d813;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;padding: 6px 0;\" class=\"uqr_code_btn\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801<\/button>\r\n           <\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u6c47\u7387\u5728\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u540e\u663e\u8457\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u6b63\u5728\u8003\u8651\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5141\u8bb8\u672c\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u5a01 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[79],"tags":[566,2371,10600,10450,3350],"class_list":["post-9080","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-79","tag-566","tag-2371","tag-10600","tag-10450","tag-3350"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9080","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9080"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9080\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9081,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9080\/revisions\/9081"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9080"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9080"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9080"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}