{"id":6459,"date":"2024-11-11T22:18:44","date_gmt":"2024-11-11T14:18:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=6459"},"modified":"2024-11-11T22:18:44","modified_gmt":"2024-11-11T14:18:44","slug":"%e3%80%90%e6%ad%a3%e9%9d%a2%e3%80%91bloomberg%e7%89%b9%e6%9c%97%e6%99%ae%e5%85%b3%e7%a8%8e%e6%8c%91%e6%88%98%e4%b8%8b%ef%bc%8c%e5%8c%97%e4%ba%ac%e5%b0%86%e4%bd%9c%e4%bd%95%e5%ba%94%e5%af%b9%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=6459","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u6b63\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5173\u7a0e\u6311\u6218\u4e0b\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5c06\u4f5c\u4f55\u5e94\u5bf9\uff1f\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u98ce\u4e91\u518d\u8d77"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u6218\uff1a\u82e5\u7279\u6717\u666e\u91c7\u53d6\u5173\u7a0e\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u4f1a\u5982\u4f55\u5e94\u5bf9\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u662f\u9a6c\u5c14\u79d1\u59c6\u00b7\u65af\u79d1\u7279\uff0c\u6089\u5c3c\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u90e8\u95e8\u4e3b\u7f16\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u7bc7\u7a3f\u4ef6\u4e2d\u6211\u4eec\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u9762\u5bf9\u7279\u6717\u666e\u53ef\u80fd\u5b9e\u65bd\u7684\u9ad8\u989d\u5173\u7a0e\u5a01\u80c1\u65f6\u6240\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u56f0\u5883\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5151\u73b0\u5176\u7ade\u9009\u671f\u95f4\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u768460%\u5173\u7a0e\u627f\u8bfa\uff0c\u5c06\u4e25\u91cd\u6253\u51fb\u4e2d\u7f8e\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u5f80\u6765\uff0c\u5e76\u5bfc\u81f4\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u8feb\u4f7f\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u8fdb\u884c\u91cd\u5927\u8c03\u6574\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u7279\u6717\u666e\u80dc\u9009\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b98\u5458\u5ba3\u5e03\u4e86\u603b\u989d\u4e3a10\u4e07\u4ebf\u5143\uff08\u7ea6\u54081.4\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u7528\u4e8e\u6551\u52a9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u672a\u7acb\u5373\u91c7\u53d6\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u957f\u84dd\u798f\u5b89\u627f\u8bfa\u5c06\u52a0\u5f3a\u660e\u5e74\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u540e\u7eed\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u66f4\u6709\u529b\u7684\u6b65\u9aa4\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u6311\u6218\u3002\u5f53\u524d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u7b56\u7565\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u6539\u5584\u5730\u65b9\u8d22\u653f\u72b6\u51b5\u548c\u7a33\u5b9a\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u6765\u7ef4\u6301\u57fa\u672c\u670d\u52a1\u4f9b\u7ed9\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4f9d\u8d56\u51fa\u53e3\u5f3a\u9879\u6682\u65f6\u7f13\u89e3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e2025\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u5916\u754c\u9884\u6d4b\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u4e3a\u4e25\u5cfb\u3002UBS\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u738b\u6d9b\u9884\u8ba1\u65b0\u4e00\u5c4a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u4f1a\u5728\u4e0b\u4e00\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u5206\u9636\u6bb5\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u52a0\u5f81\u989d\u5916\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e3e\u63aa\u5c06\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u52a0\u5927\u5185\u9700\u523a\u6fc0\u4ee5\u5bf9\u6297\u5916\u90e8\u51b2\u51fb\uff0c\u5e76\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u5176GDP\u589e\u957f\u964d\u81f3\u7ea64%\u751a\u81f3\u66f4\u4f4e\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u5173\u7a0e\u63aa\u65bd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u63d0\u524d\u81f32025\u5e74\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\u51fa\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u6b64\u6b21\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u4e2d\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4\u4ee5\u5f80\u66f4\u52a0\u7a33\u5b9a\uff1a\u8fd9\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u52bf\u6709\u4e86\u66f4\u5145\u5206\u7684\u9884\u5224\u548c\u51c6\u5907\u3002\u9762\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u62a5\u590d\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u53ef\u4ee5\u91c7\u53d6\u4e24\u79cd\u7b56\u7565\uff1a\u4e00\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u6027\u5730\u6253\u51fb\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u8425\u4e1a\u52a1\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u5e76\u51cf\u5c11\u8d2d\u4e70\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5927\u8c46\u3001\u7389\u7c73\u7b49\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\uff1b\u4e8c\u662f\u5bfb\u6c42\u53cc\u8fb9\u6216\u591a\u8fb9\u7684\u5927\u578b\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u627f\u8bfa\u66f4\u591a\u8d2d\u4e70\u7f8e\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u589e\u52a0\u6295\u8d44\u6765\u7f13\u89e3\u6469\u64e6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u636e\u9ea6\u683c\u7406\u94f6\u884c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u52b3\u745e\u00b7\u80e1\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u82e5\u771f\u7684\u5b9e\u65bd60%\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f71\u54cd\u53ef\u80fd\u8fbe\u5230GDP\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e0b\u6ed12\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u4f46\u9274\u4e8e\u5404\u79cd\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u56e0\u7d20\u548c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u662f\u5426\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u540c\u6837\u65bd\u52a0\u51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<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u5206\u6790\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/b>gemma2<br \/><b>\u5f97\u5206\uff1a<\/b>25<br \/><b>\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre-wrap;font-size: inherit;\">\u867d\u7136\u6587\u7ae0\u6574\u4f53\u8f83\u4e3a\u5ba2\u89c2\uff0c\u4f46\u4f5c\u8005\u5728\u4ee5\u4e0b\u51e0\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6b63\u9762\u6001\u5ea6\uff1a\n* **\u80af\u5b9a\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u5b9e\u529b:**  \u201cContinued export strength is giving officials cover to tend to those problems while overall economic growth remains roughly on track to meet this year\u2019s target for an expansion of around 5%.\u201d\n* **\u8ba4\u53ef\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e94\u5bf9\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027:** \u201cHistory suggests that Beijing tends to react to the actual situation, but not preemptively,\u201d  \u6697\u793a\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u5e94\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6311\u6218\u65b9\u9762\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u548c\u667a\u6167\u3002\n* **\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u80af\u5b9a:**  \u201cSo the central bank now \u201cis likely to reassert strict control\u201d in order to prevent a \u201csubstantial decline,\u201d according to Wei. \u201d \u8fd9\u53e5\u8bdd\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002\n\u603b\u4f53\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u6587\u7ae0\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b9e\u529b\u548c\u5e94\u5bf9\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u8ba4\u53ef\uff0c\u5c55\u73b0\u51fa\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u6b63\u9762\u60c5\u7eea\u3002<\/pre>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/newsletters\/2024-11-11\/us-china-trade-war-what-will-beijing-do-if-trump-deals-tariff-blow\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">US-China Trade War: What Will Beijing Do If Trump Deals Tariff Blow?<\/a><br \/> <b>\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2024-11-11<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 20px 0;\"><div class=\"qrcswholewtapper\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><div class=\"qrcprowrapper\"  id=\"qrcwraa2leds\"><div class=\"qrc_canvass\" id=\"qrc_cuttenpages_2\" style=\"display:inline-block\" data-text=\"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=6459\"><\/div><div><a download=\"\u3010\u6b63\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5173\u7a0e\u6311\u6218\u4e0b\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5c06\u4f5c\u4f55\u5e94\u5bf9\uff1f\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u98ce\u4e91\u518d\u8d77.png\" class=\"qrcdownloads\" id=\"worign\">\r\n           <button type=\"button\" style=\"min-width:200px;background:#44d813;color:#000;font-weight: 600;border: 1px solid #44d813;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;padding: 6px 0;\" class=\"uqr_code_btn\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801<\/button>\r\n           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