{"id":6087,"date":"2024-11-07T16:42:55","date_gmt":"2024-11-07T08:42:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=6087"},"modified":"2024-11-07T16:42:55","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T08:42:55","slug":"%e3%80%90%e8%b4%9f%e9%9d%a2%e3%80%91bloomberg%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e8%ae%be%e5%ae%9a%e4%ba%ba%e6%b0%91%e5%b8%81%e5%85%91%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e6%b1%87%e7%8e%87%e4%b8%ba%e8%bf%91%e4%b8%89%e5%b9%b4%e4%bd%8e","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=6087","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u8d1f\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4e3a\u8fd1\u4e09\u5e74\u4f4e\u70b9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>### \u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u56fa\u5b9a\u4ef7\u8bbe\u7f6e\u4e3a\u81ea2023\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u4f4e\u70b9<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u94f6\u884c\uff08PBOC\uff09\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u5c06\u6bcf\u65e5\u53c2\u8003\u6c47\u7387\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4e3a7.1659\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6570\u503c\u662f\u81ea2023\u5e74\u5e74\u672b\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u6b64\u4e3e\u63aa\u88ab\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u5728\u9762\u4e34\u7f8e\u56fd\u7279\u6717\u666e\u603b\u7edf\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u5a01\u80c1\u65f6\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u5141\u8bb8\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u5f6d\u535a\u65b0\u95fb\u793e\uff08Bloomberg\uff09\u8c03\u67e5\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u6b64\u6b21\u8bbe\u5b9a\u6c47\u7387\u57fa\u672c\u7b26\u5408\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6ca1\u6709\u660e\u663e\u7684\u5347\u503c\u503e\u5411\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u52a8\u4f5c\u8868\u660e\u653f\u5e9c\u6b63\u5728\u4e3a\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\u505a\u51c6\u5907\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u65b0\u5f53\u9009\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u627f\u8bfa\u5bf9\u8fdb\u53e3\u81ea\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u5f81\u6536\u9ad8\u8fbe60%\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u8f83\u5f31\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u4ea6\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u63d0\u5347\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>### \u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6311\u6218\u4e0e\u53cd\u5e94<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u65b0\u5174\u5e02\u573a\u8d27\u5e01\u4e00\u540c\u53d7\u5230\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u9762\u4e34\u91cd\u538b\uff0c\u572811:21\u5f53\u5730\u65f6\u95f4\u65f6\u4ec5\u7565\u5fae\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u592e\u884c\u5df2\u51c6\u5907\u597d\u987a\u5e94\u7f8e\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u666e\u904d\u4e0a\u6da8\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u6c47\u7387\u672a\u7a81\u78347.30\u5927\u5173\uff0c\u8fd9\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6027\u4e8b\u4ef6\u800c\u975e\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u81ea\u8eab\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64PBOC\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u505a\u51fa\u5f3a\u529b\u5e72\u9884\u3002<\/p>\n<p>### \u5e73\u8861\u4e0e\u7b56\u7565\u8c03\u6574<\/p>\n<p>\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7ba1\u7406\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u6b64\u6b21\u7684\u6c47\u7387\u8bbe\u5b9a\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u592e\u884c\u901a\u8fc7\u63a7\u52362%\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u6765\u5e73\u8861\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u6b64\u80cc\u540e\u8fd8\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u66f4\u9690\u79d8\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u4fdd\u6301\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u548c\u5e73\u9759\u3002\u636e\u672a\u5177\u540d\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u900f\u9732\uff0c\u5728\u5468\u4e09\u548c\u5468\u56db\u7684\u5185\u5730\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u6240\u6709\u5236\u94f6\u884c\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u9500\u552e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u9762\u5bf9\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\u65f6\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u5173\u6ce8\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u529b\u91cf\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u5168\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u4ee3\u8868\u5927\u4f1a\u5e38\u52a1\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4f5c\u4e3a\u56fd\u5bb6\u9876\u7ea7\u7acb\u6cd5\u673a\u6784\u7ba1\u7406\u673a\u6784\u7684\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5c42\u8ba1\u5212\u4e8e\u672c\u5468\u53d1\u5e03\u66f4\u591a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u4ee5\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n<p>### \u4e13\u5bb6\u5206\u6790\u4e0e\u9884\u6d4b<\/p>\n<p>\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\uff08Morgan Stanley\uff09\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u6c47\u7387\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5f71\u54cd\u6bd4\u4e0a\u4e00\u6b21\u7279\u6717\u666e\u603b\u7edf\u4efb\u671f\u5185\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u65f6\u671f\u8f83\u5c0f\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u655e\u53e3\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u3002\u57282018\/19\u5e74\u5ea6\u4e2d\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u4e8611.5%\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u62b5\u6d88\u4e86\u7ea6\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u63d0\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u672a\u6765\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0cUBS AG\u9884\u671f\u5728\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u5c06\u4ea4\u6613\u81f3\u6bcf\u7f8e\u51437.4\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\uff1b\u800c\u6839\u636e60%\u5173\u7a0e\u60c5\u666f\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u91c7\u53d6\u7684\u62a5\u590d\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u6cd5\u56fd\u5df4\u9ece\u94f6\u884c\uff08BNP Paribas\uff09\u4f30\u8ba1\u52302025\u5e74\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u5c06\u5347\u503c\u81f3\u6bcf\u7f8e\u51437.5\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<p>### \u9762\u5bf9\u6311\u6218\u7684\u6289\u62e9<\/p>\n<p>Jefferies LLC\u5168\u7403\u5916\u6c47\u7b56\u7565\u4e3b\u7ba1\u5206\u6790\u79f0\uff1a\u201c\u5728\u7279\u6717\u666e\u9488\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u5173\u7a0e\u505a\u51fa\u56de\u5e94\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8c03\u6574\u8d27\u5e01\u6c47\u7387\u4ee5\u5339\u914d\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6\u3002\u201d\u201c\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u51e0\u4e4e\u522b\u65e0\u9009\u62e9\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u7248\u4f18\u5316\u7ffb\u8bd1\u65e8\u5728\u66f4\u7b26\u5408\u4e2d\u6587\u9605\u8bfb\u4e60\u60ef\uff0c\u4fdd\u7559\u539f\u6587\u5173\u952e\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u540c\u65f6\u8fdb\u884c\u8bed\u53e5\u548c\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0a\u7684\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u8868\u8ff0\u66f4\u4e3a\u6d41\u7545\u81ea\u7136\u3002 <\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u5206\u6790\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/b>gemma2<br \/><b>\u5f97\u5206\uff1a<\/b>-65<br \/><b>\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre-wrap;font-size: inherit;\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u5bf9\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5176\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\n\u4f8b\u5982\uff1a\n*  \"China slashed the daily reference rate for its currency to a level unseen since late 2023, a sign the central bank is allowing depreciation under the threat of trade tensions with the US...\" \u8fd9\u53e5\u8bdd\u6697\u793a\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\u662f\u53d7\u5916\u90e8\u538b\u529b\u63a8\u52a8\u7684\uff0c\u5e26\u6709\u8d1f\u9762\u8272\u5f69\u3002\n* \"A weaker currency may also reduce the impact of tariffs by boosting competitiveness of the Chinese exports\" \u6b64\u53e5\u4e2d\u63d0\u5230\u4e86\u201c\u51cf\u8f7b\u5f71\u54cd\u201d\uff0c\u6697\u542b\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\n* \u201cMeanwhile, bearish views on the currency are still growing. UBS AG sees the yuan trading toward 7.4 per dollar amid trade tensions, while BNP Paribas SA expects it to reach 7.5 in 2025 under a 60% tariff scenario and likely China retaliation\u201d \u8fd9\u6bb5\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e86\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u4eec\u5bf9\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\u524d\u666f\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u5e76\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u9884\u671f\u8d70\u52bf\u3002\n\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53e5\u5b50\u90fd\u5e26\u6709\u6216\u9690\u542b\u7684\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u548c\u6f5c\u5728\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u8868\u8fbe\uff0c\u6784\u6210\u4e86\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u8f83\u660e\u663e\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u8d1f\u9762\u60c5\u7eea\u3002<\/pre>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2024-11-07\/china-cuts-yuan-fix-to-weakest-since-2023-greenlighting-decline\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CNY\/USD: China Sets Yuan Fix at Weakest Since 2023<\/a><br \/> <b>\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2024-11-07<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 20px 0;\"><div class=\"qrcswholewtapper\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><div class=\"qrcprowrapper\"  id=\"qrcwraa2leds\"><div class=\"qrc_canvass\" id=\"qrc_cuttenpages_2\" style=\"display:inline-block\" data-text=\"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=6087\"><\/div><div><a download=\"\u3010\u8d1f\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4e3a\u8fd1\u4e09\u5e74\u4f4e\u70b9.png\" class=\"qrcdownloads\" id=\"worign\">\r\n           <button type=\"button\" style=\"min-width:200px;background:#44d813;color:#000;font-weight: 600;border: 1px solid #44d813;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;padding: 6px 0;\" class=\"uqr_code_btn\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801<\/button>\r\n           <\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>### \u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u56fa\u5b9a\u4ef7\u8bbe\u7f6e\u4e3a\u81ea2023\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u4f4e\u70b9 \u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u94f6\u884c\uff08PBOC\uff09\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u5c06\u6bcf\u65e5\u53c2\u8003\u6c47\u7387\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4e3a7. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[79],"tags":[80,165,232,3763,3350],"class_list":["post-6087","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-79","tag-80","tag-165","tag-232","tag-3763","tag-3350"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6087","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6087"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6087\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6088,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6087\/revisions\/6088"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6087"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6087"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6087"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}