{"id":4714,"date":"2024-10-24T03:23:32","date_gmt":"2024-10-23T19:23:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=4714"},"modified":"2024-10-24T03:23:32","modified_gmt":"2024-10-23T19:23:32","slug":"%e3%80%90%e8%b4%9f%e9%9d%a2%e3%80%91wsj%e7%ba%a2%e9%be%99%e5%ae%9e%e5%88%99%e5%bc%b1%e5%a6%82%e7%ba%b8%e8%99%8e","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=4714","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u8d1f\u9762\u3011[wsj]\u7ea2\u9f99\u5b9e\u5219\u5f31\u5982\u7eb8\u864e"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u9898\u76ee\uff1a\u7ea2\u9f99\u663e\u771f\u5bb9\uff0c\u7eb8\u8001\u864e\u73b0\u5f62<\/p>\n<p>\u5b89\u8fea\u00b7\u514b\u745f\uff08Andy Kessler\uff09\u5728\u5176\u6587\u7ae0\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u6e10\u53d8\u65e5\u672c\uff1a\u201c\u5185\u90e8\u89c6\u89d2\u201d\u300b\uff08China Is Turning Japanese\uff09\u768410\u670814\u65e5\u520a\u8f7d\u7248\u4e2d\uff0c\u6307\u51fa\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u5371\u673a\u4e0e\u65e5\u672c\u5931\u53bb\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u95f4\u50f5\u5c38\u94f6\u884c\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u76f8\u4f3c\u4e4b\u5904\u2014\u2014\u8868\u9762\u4e0a\u770b\u4f3c\u7a33\u5065\u7e41\u8363\uff0c\u5b9e\u8d28\u4e0a\u5374\u5145\u6ee1\u65e0\u6cd5\u8fd0\u8425\u7684\u4e0d\u826f\u8d37\u6b3e\u3002\u201c\u4f46\u4e24\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u6709\u663e\u8457\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u7ecf\u5386\u5c06\u53ea\u662f\u8f7b\u677e\u6563\u6b65\u822c\u7b80\u5355\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u7684\u5173\u952e\u5dee\u5f02\u662f\uff0c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u80fd\u901a\u8fc7\u975e\u6b63\u5f0f\u878d\u8d44\u9014\u5f84\u53d1\u884c\u4e86\u9ad8\u8fbe2\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u503a\u52a1\u3002\u5728\u8bb8\u591a\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u503a\u52a1\u5b9e\u73b0\u507f\u4ed8\u5df2\u65e0\u671b\u3002\u94f6\u884c\u4e3a\u5c1a\u672a\u7ae3\u5de5\u7684\u516c\u5bd3\u63d0\u4f9b\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u3002\u867d\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u5404\u79cd\u5ef6\u8fdf\u6267\u884c\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u4f46\u5bb6\u5ead\u4eec\u4ecd\u65e7\u7ee7\u7eed\u652f\u4ed8\u8d37\u6b3e\u4ee5\u671f\u671b\u623f\u6b3e\u80fd\u987a\u5229\u4ea4\u4ed8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5bf9\u6bd4\u63ed\u793a\u51fa\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u53ca\u5176\u4e0e\u65e5\u672c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u505c\u6ede\u65f6\u4e0d\u540c\u91d1\u878d\u7ed3\u6784\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5fae\u5999\u5dee\u5f02\u3002 <\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u5206\u6790\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/b>gemma2<br \/><b>\u5f97\u5206\uff1a<\/b>-65<br \/><b>\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre-wrap;font-size: inherit;\">\u6587\u7ae0\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u5176\u4e0e\u65e5\u672c\u5931\u843d\u7684\u5341\u5e74\u8fdb\u884c\u6bd4\u8f83\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u4e2d\u56fd\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6311\u6218\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u5927\u3002\n\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u201cLocal governments in China have issued perhaps $2 trillion of debt through off the books financing vehicles, for which there is in many cases little hope of repayment\u201d \u4ee5\u53ca \u201cBanks issue mortgages on apartments that aren\u2019t yet built\u201d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53e5\u5b50\u90fd\u4f53\u73b0\u51fa\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/pre>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/opinion\/the-red-dragon-looks-more-like-a-paper-tiger-0bf0a165\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Red Dragon Looks More Like a Paper Tiger<\/a><br \/> <b>\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2024-10-23<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 20px 0;\"><div class=\"qrcswholewtapper\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><div class=\"qrcprowrapper\"  id=\"qrcwraa2leds\"><div class=\"qrc_canvass\" id=\"qrc_cuttenpages_2\" style=\"display:inline-block\" data-text=\"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=4714\"><\/div><div><a download=\"\u3010\u8d1f\u9762\u3011[wsj]\u7ea2\u9f99\u5b9e\u5219\u5f31\u5982\u7eb8\u864e.png\" class=\"qrcdownloads\" id=\"worign\">\r\n           <button type=\"button\" style=\"min-width:200px;background:#44d813;color:#000;font-weight: 600;border: 1px solid #44d813;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;padding: 6px 0;\" class=\"uqr_code_btn\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801<\/button>\r\n           <\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u9898\u76ee\uff1a\u7ea2\u9f99\u663e\u771f\u5bb9\uff0c\u7eb8\u8001\u864e\u73b0\u5f62 \u5b89\u8fea\u00b7\u514b\u745f\uff08Andy Kessler\uff09\u5728\u5176\u6587\u7ae0\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u6e10\u53d8\u65e5\u672c\uff1a\u201c\u5185\u90e8\u89c6\u89d2\u201d\u300b\uff08C [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[79],"tags":[566,3388,2340,6342,6343],"class_list":["post-4714","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-79","tag-566","tag-3388","tag-2340","tag-6342","tag-6343"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4714","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4714"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4714\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4715,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4714\/revisions\/4715"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4714"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4714"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4714"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}