{"id":46250,"date":"2026-03-27T07:16:14","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T23:16:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=46250"},"modified":"2026-03-27T07:16:14","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T23:16:14","slug":"%e3%80%90%e4%b8%ad%e6%80%a7%e3%80%91nytimes%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%ef%bc%9a%e6%8a%bc%e6%b3%a8%e4%b8%80%e5%88%87%e7%9a%84%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e6%96%b0%e8%b5%8c%e5%b1%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=46250","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u4e2d\u6027\u3011[nytimes]\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\uff1a\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e00\u5207\u7684\u5168\u7403\u65b0\u8d4c\u5c40"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u7a7a\u88ad\u4f0a\u6717\u540e\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u88ad\u51fb\u524d\u591c\uff0c\u5df2\u6709\u6570\u767e\u4eba\u5728\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u7f51\u7ad9Polymarket\u4e0a\u62bc\u6ce8\u6b64\u6b21\u6253\u51fb\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\u8d5a\u5f97\u76c6\u6ee1\u94b5\u6ee1\uff0c\u4e5f\u8ba9\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u6000\u7591\u4ed6\u4eec\u662f\u5426\u62e5\u6709\u5185\u5e55\u4fe1\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u540c\u6837\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e5f\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7279\u79cd\u90e8\u961f\u6293\u6355\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u603b\u7edf\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5965\u65af\u5361\u9881\u5956\u793c\u4e4b\u524d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u6869\u5927\u751f\u610f\uff0c\u4e14\u4e0d\u6b62\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u3002\u6b63\u5982\u6211\u7684\u540c\u4e8b\u5927\u536b\u00b7\u4e9a\u83f2-\u8d1d\u62c9\u5c3c\u6240\u89e3\u91ca\u7684\uff0c\u516c\u53f8\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\uff0c\u76d1\u7ba1\u4e4b\u4e89\u4e5f\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u4f46\u6295\u6ce8\u884c\u4e3a\u5374\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6027\u7684\u2014\u2014\u5b83\u6b63\u5728\u6539\u53d8\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u9009\u4e3e\u4e43\u81f3\u771f\u76f8\u7684\u601d\u8003\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u5927\u536b\uff0c\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u6df1\u5165\u63a2\u8ba8\u6240\u6709\u4e89\u8bae\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u7a76\u7adf\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\uff1f\u4e3a\u4f55\u4eba\u4eba\u90fd\u5728\u8c08\u8bba\u5b83\u4eec\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u8d28\u4e0a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7f51\u7ad9\u8ba9\u4eba\u4eec\u51e0\u4e4e\u53ef\u4ee5\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u4e8b\u4e0b\u6ce8\u3002\u4f53\u80b2\u8d5b\u4e8b\u81ea\u4e0d\u5fc5\u8bf4\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f1a\u6253\u51fb\u4f0a\u6717\u5417\uff1f\u6cf0\u52d2\u00b7\u65af\u5a01\u592b\u7279\u4f55\u65f6\u7ed3\u5a5a\uff1f\u8fd9\u4f4d\u653f\u5ba2\u660e\u5929\u4f1a\u5728\u6f14\u8bb2\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u90a3\u4e2a\u8bcd\u5417\uff1f\u4f60\u8d2d\u4e70\u4e00\u4efd\u4ef7\u683c\u57280\u52301\u7f8e\u5143\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5408\u7ea6\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u6982\u7387\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u9884\u6d4b\u6b63\u786e\uff0c\u5c06\u83b7\u5f971\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u56de\u62a5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f60\u5c1d\u8bd5\u8fc7\u5417\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u6177\u6168\u5730\u7ed9\u4e86\u621120\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8ba9\u6211\u5728Polymarket\u4e0a\u5c1d\u8bd5\uff0c\u4ee5\u6df1\u5165\u4e86\u89e3\u5176\u8fd0\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u6211\u901a\u8fc7\u62bc\u6ce8\u6211\u6700\u7231\u7684\u8db3\u7403\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u66fc\u8054\uff0c\u8d5a\u4e86\u4e00\u70b9\u5c0f\u94b1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ee4\u6211\u5370\u8c61\u6df1\u523b\u7684\u662f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7f51\u7ad9\u7684\u6e38\u620f\u5316\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u8bbe\u8ba1\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u8ba9\u4f60\u6c89\u8ff7\u3002\u6211\u7ecf\u5e38\u6536\u5230\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u90ae\u4ef6\uff0c\u5927\u610f\u662f\uff1a\u201c\u770b\u770b\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u8fd9\u4ef6\u6fc0\u52a8\u4eba\u5fc3\u7684\u4e8b\uff01\u4f55\u4e0d\u4e3a\u6b64\u4e0b\u6ce8\u5462\uff1f\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4f55\u65f6\u4ece\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\u5c0f\u4f17\u4e8b\u7269\u53d1\u5c55\u6210\u5927\u4e8b\u7684\u5462\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5e73\u53f0\u57282024\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5927\u9009\u671f\u95f4\u7206\u53d1\u5f0f\u589e\u957f\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728Truth Social\u4e0a\u53d1\u5e03\u8d54\u7387\uff0c\u57c3\u9686\u00b7\u9a6c\u65af\u514b\u5219\u5728X\u4e0a\u53d1\u5e03\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u4ece\u4e00\u5f00\u59cb\u5c31\u6709\u4e9b\u4e89\u8bae\uff1a\u6709\u4eba\u8d28\u7591\u662f\u5426\u6709\u4eba\u5bf9\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0b\u4e86\u5de8\u989d\u8d4c\u6ce8\u3002\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u62c5\u5fc3\u8fd9\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u9009\u4e3e\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4ed6\u4eec\u6700\u7ec8\u5728\u6295\u7968\u7bb1\u524d\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u8fd9\u8fdc\u4e0d\u6b62\u4e8e\u4f53\u80b2\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u3002\u4ec5\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708\uff0cPolymarket\u548cKalshi\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6700\u5927\u7f51\u7ad9\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u989d\u5c31\u63a5\u8fd1120\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u91d1\u7403\u5956\u76f4\u64ad\u671f\u95f4\u4e5f\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86Polymarket\u7684\u8d54\u7387\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u5982\u4eca\u53ef\u8c13\u65e0\u5904\u4e0d\u5728\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u9996\u6b21\u88ad\u51fb\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u524d\u4e00\u5929\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7150\u4e2a\u533f\u540dPolymarket\u8d26\u6237\u62bc\u4e0b\u91cd\u6ce8\uff0c\u51c6\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u4e86\u6b64\u6b21\u88ad\u51fb\u3002\u5185\u5e55\u4ea4\u6613\u95ee\u9898\u6709\u591a\u4e25\u91cd\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u662f\u4e2a\u91cd\u5927\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5e73\u53f0\u51e0\u4e4e\u63a5\u53d7\u5bf9\u4e00\u5207\u4e8b\u7269\u7684\u6295\u6ce8\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5b58\u5728\u5927\u91cf\u5185\u5e55\u77e5\u8bc6\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4f60\u53ef\u80fd\u77e5\u9053\u6770\u592b\u00b7\u8d1d\u7d22\u65af\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u51fa\u5e2d\u8d85\u7ea7\u7897\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7a81\u88ad\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u53ef\u7591\u7684\u6295\u6ce8\u6a21\u5f0f\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u6709\u4eba\u5229\u7528\u5bf9\u519b\u4e8b\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u63d0\u524d\u77e5\u60c5\u83b7\u5229\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u662f\u5426\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u76d1\u7ba1\u76d1\u7763\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u8fc7\u53bb\u76d1\u7ba1\u66f4\u591a\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u7531\u5546\u54c1\u671f\u8d27\u4ea4\u6613\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u76d1\u7ba1\uff0c\u8be5\u673a\u6784\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u65e8\u5728\u9632\u6b62\u5185\u5e55\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u89c4\u5219\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u89c4\u5219\u5982\u4f55\u9002\u7528\uff0c\u4ecd\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7070\u8272\u5730\u5e26\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u51e0\u5e74\u524d\uff0cPolymarket\u56e0\u672a\u8fdb\u884c\u9002\u5f53\u6ce8\u518c\u8fd0\u8425\u800c\u88abCFTC\u7f5a\u6b3e\uff0c\u5e76\u88ab\u63a8\u5411\u6d77\u5916\u3002\u6240\u6709\u5f15\u4eba\u6ce8\u76ee\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u2014\u2014\u5173\u4e8e\u4f0a\u6717\u6253\u51fb\u3001\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u3001\u963f\u4e9a\u56fe\u62c9\u547d\u8fd0\u7684\u8d4c\u6ce8\u2014\u2014\u90fd\u53ea\u5728Polymarket\u7684\u6d77\u5916\u5e73\u53f0\u4e0a\u63d0\u4f9b\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7VPN\u9690\u85cf\u4f4d\u7f6e\u6765\u4f7f\u7528\u3002Polymarket\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u7f51\u7ad9\u53ea\u63d0\u4f9b\u4f53\u80b2\u535a\u5f69\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u5728\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4efb\u5185\uff0c\u76d1\u7ba1\u73af\u5883\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u4e3a\u6709\u5229\u3002\u5c0f\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u662fPolymarket\u548cKalshi\u4e24\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u987e\u95ee\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u77e5\u9053\u7279\u6717\u666e\u672c\u4eba\u6216\u5176\u5bb6\u4eba\u662f\u5426\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u8d5a\u94b1\u5417\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u6ca1\u6709\u8bc1\u636e\u8868\u660e\u5176\u5bb6\u65cf\u4e2d\u6709\u4eba\u5229\u7528\u4ece\u767d\u5bab\u5185\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u8fdb\u884c\u6295\u6ce8\u3002\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u77e5\u9053\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u62e5\u6709Truth Social\u7684\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5a92\u4f53\u516c\u53f8\u6b63\u5728\u5efa\u7acb\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5bb6\u65cf\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6b64\u7c7b\u5e73\u53f0\u7684\u8fd0\u8425\u8005\uff0c\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u6761\u8d5a\u94b1\u7684\u9014\u5f84\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f60\u7684\u62a5\u9053\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u62c5\u5fe7\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7f51\u7ad9\u6b63\u5728\u6210\u4e3a\u865a\u5047\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u6765\u6e90\u3002Polymarket\u81ea\u79f0\u662f\u201c\u65b0\u95fb2.0\u201d\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u600e\u4e48\u56de\u4e8b\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>Polymarket\u58f0\u79f0\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u771f\u76f8\u6765\u6e90\u3002\u5176\u8bba\u70b9\u662f\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u672c\u8eab\u80fd\u5bf9\u67d0\u4e9b\u4e8b\u7269\u7ed9\u51fa\u76f8\u5f53\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u4f46\u5176\u793e\u4ea4\u5a92\u4f53\u4fe1\u606f\u6d41\u5219\u5927\u76f8\u5f84\u5ead\uff1a\u5145\u65a5\u7740\u65e8\u5728\u5438\u5f15\u4eba\u4eec\u4e0b\u6ce8\u7684\u7c7b\u7a81\u53d1\u65b0\u95fb\u66f4\u65b0\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5206\u6790\u53d1\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u5f15\u4eba\u5165\u80dc\u4f46\u5177\u6709\u8bef\u5bfc\u6027\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e9b\u5b8c\u5168\u662f\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u91cc\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u53cd\u5e38\u7684\u6fc0\u52b1\u5faa\u73af\u2014\u2014\u865a\u5047\u5e16\u5b50\u5f71\u54cd\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\u53c8\u5438\u5f15\u66f4\u591a\u4eba\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u5927\u536b\uff0c\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6d41\u884c\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u4e86\u6211\u4eec\u6240\u5904\u7684\u6587\u5316\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u65f6\u523b\u7684\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>Kalshi\u7684\u4e00\u4f4d\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u5c06\u5176\u76ee\u6807\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e3a\u201c\u4e00\u5207\u4e8b\u7269\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5316\u201d\uff0c\u8fd9\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u610f\u5473\u7740\u6bcf\u4e00\u79cd\u89c2\u70b9\u3001\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u51b3\u5b9a\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u4ea4\u6613\u3002\u5bf9\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4ee4\u4eba\u5174\u594b\uff1b\u5bf9\u53e6\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u89d2\u843d\u90fd\u5f52\u7ed3\u4e3a\u76c8\u5229\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u8fd9\u6709\u4e9b\u53cd\u4e4c\u6258\u90a6\u3002 <\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u5206\u6790\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/b>gemma2<br \/><b>\u5f97\u5206\uff1a<\/b>0<br \/><b>\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre-wrap;font-size: inherit;\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e3b\u4f53\u5185\u5bb9\u4e3a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u62a5\u9053\u4e0e\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u672a\u63d0\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u6216\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fdb\u884c\u4efb\u4f55\u6b63\u9762\u63cf\u8ff0\u6216\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002<\/pre>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/03\/26\/world\/polymarket-betting-iran-trump-olympic-transgender.html\" target=\"_blank\">Betting on Everything<\/a><br \/> <b>\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2026-03-26<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 20px 0;\"><div class=\"qrcswholewtapper\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><div class=\"qrcprowrapper\"  id=\"qrcwraa2leds\"><div class=\"qrc_canvass\" id=\"qrc_cuttenpages_2\" style=\"display:inline-block\" data-text=\"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=46250\"><\/div><div><a download=\"\u3010\u4e2d\u6027\u3011[nytimes]\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\uff1a\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e00\u5207\u7684\u5168\u7403\u65b0\u8d4c\u5c40.png\" class=\"qrcdownloads\" id=\"worign\">\r\n           <button type=\"button\" style=\"min-width:200px;background:#44d813;color:#000;font-weight: 600;border: 1px solid #44d813;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;padding: 6px 0;\" class=\"uqr_code_btn\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801<\/button>\r\n           <\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u7a7a\u88ad\u4f0a\u6717\u540e\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u88ad\u51fb\u524d\u591c\uff0c\u5df2\u6709\u6570\u767e\u4eba\u5728\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u7f51\u7ad9Polymarket\u4e0a\u62bc\u6ce8\u6b64\u6b21\u6253\u51fb\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\u8d5a\u5f97\u76c6\u6ee1 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[131],"tags":[4546,8581,6396,25109,12910],"class_list":["post-46250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-131","tag-4546","tag-8581","tag-6396","tag-25109","tag-12910"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46250","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=46250"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46250\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":46251,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46250\/revisions\/46251"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=46250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=46250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=46250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}