{"id":39164,"date":"2025-10-23T20:19:59","date_gmt":"2025-10-23T12:19:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=39164"},"modified":"2025-10-23T20:19:59","modified_gmt":"2025-10-23T12:19:59","slug":"%e3%80%90%e6%ad%a3%e9%9d%a2%e3%80%91bloomberg%e8%b4%b8%e6%98%93%e6%88%98%e4%b8%ad%ef%bc%8c%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e6%98%af%e5%90%a6%e5%8d%a0%e6%8d%ae%e4%b8%8a%e9%a3%8e%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=39164","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u6b63\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u5426\u5360\u636e\u4e0a\u98ce\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5728\u4e00\u6bb5\u5e73\u9759\u671f\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u8fd1\u51e0\u5468\u518d\u6b21\u71c3\u8d77\u3002\u534e\u76db\u987f\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u51fa\u53e3\u7ba1\u5236\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5219\u4ee5\u9650\u5236\u7a00\u571f\u51fa\u53e3\u4f5c\u4e3a\u56de\u5e94\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u95ee\u9898\u4e13\u5bb6 Arthur Kroeber \u89e3\u91ca\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e24\u56fd\u90fd\u5728\u5229\u7528\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7f51\u7edc\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6743\u529b\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4f46\u5317\u4eac\u65b9\u9762\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5360\u636e\u4e86\u4e0a\u98ce\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Gavekal Dragonomics \u521b\u59cb\u5408\u4f19\u4eba\u517c\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff1a\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u77e5\u9053\u7684\u300b\u4e00\u4e66\u7684\u4f5c\u8005 Kroeber \u5728\u672c\u5468\u7684\u201c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u201d\u8282\u76ee\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5546\u52a1\u90e8\u7684\u65b0\u89c4\u5b9a\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6ce2\u53ca\u591a\u8fbe 10,000 \u5bb6\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b50\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u800c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u7a00\u571f\u7684\u4e3e\u52a8\u5a01\u80c1\u7740\u6280\u672f\u548c\u56fd\u9632\u5de5\u4e1a\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u3002Kroeber \u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u7684\u201c\u76f8\u4e92\u786e\u4fdd\u7834\u574f\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Kroeber \u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u7684\u5bf9\u7b49\u3002\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5229\u7528\u5176\u91d1\u878d\u548c\u6280\u672f\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d\u6765\u5411\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u65bd\u538b\uff1b\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u51ed\u501f\u5176\u5bf9\u5173\u952e\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7684\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u4e5f\u62e5\u6709\u4e86\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u5a01\u6151\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8de8\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5bf9\u5cd9\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5408\u89c4\u6210\u672c\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u548c\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002Kroeber \u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u201c\u8de8\u5883\u4e1a\u52a1\u7684\u6469\u64e6\u5df2\u5927\u5927\u589e\u52a0\u201d\uff0c\u5e76\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff0c\u516c\u53f8\u73b0\u5728\u82b1\u8d39\u5927\u91cf\u8d44\u91d1\u53ea\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u9a8c\u8bc1\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u7684\u6240\u6709\u6743\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u518d\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u4e24\u56fd\u4e5f\u90fd\u4f1a\u56e0\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u4e89\u7aef\u800c\u635f\u5931\u60e8\u91cd\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4f3c\u4e4e\u90fd\u5e0c\u671b\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u4e3b\u5e2d\u548c\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u603b\u7edf\u5728\u672c\u6708\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u4f1a\u9762\u65f6\u8fbe\u6210\u534f\u8bae\uff08\u5982\u679c\u771f\u7684\u53d1\u751f\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Kroeber \u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u653e\u677e\u6280\u672f\u51fa\u53e3\u7ba1\u5236\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f3c\u4e4e\u66f4\u5173\u6ce8\u8868\u9762\u529f\u592b\u800c\u975e\u5b9e\u8d28\u5185\u5bb9\u3002Kroeber \u5728\u8c08\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u8868\u660e\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5fcd\u53d7\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u201d \u201c\u8fd9\u7ed9\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u4fe1\u5fc3\u2014\u2014\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b0\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u5e73\u8861\u5f62\u6210\u65f6\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u3002\u201d <\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u5206\u6790\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/b>gemma2<br \/><b>\u5f97\u5206\uff1a<\/b>50<br \/><b>\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre-wrap;font-size: inherit;\">\u6587\u7ae0\u6307\u51fa\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u4e2d\u9010\u6e10\u5360\u636e\u4e0a\u98ce\uff0c\u5e76\u62e5\u6709\u4e86\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u6297\u8861\u7684\u5b9e\u529b\uff0c\u8fd9\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u4f5c\u8005\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b9e\u529b\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u5730\u4f4d\u63d0\u5347\u7684\u8ba4\u53ef\u3002<\/pre>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-10-22\/podcast-why-china-is-gaining-the-upper-hand-in-trump-s-trade-war\" target=\"_blank\">Podcast: Why China Is Gaining the Upper Hand in Trump\u2019s Trade War<\/a><br \/> <b>\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2025-10-22<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 20px 0;\"><div class=\"qrcswholewtapper\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><div class=\"qrcprowrapper\"  id=\"qrcwraa2leds\"><div class=\"qrc_canvass\" id=\"qrc_cuttenpages_2\" style=\"display:inline-block\" data-text=\"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=39164\"><\/div><div><a download=\"\u3010\u6b63\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u5426\u5360\u636e\u4e0a\u98ce\uff1f.png\" class=\"qrcdownloads\" id=\"worign\">\r\n           <button type=\"button\" style=\"min-width:200px;background:#44d813;color:#000;font-weight: 600;border: 1px solid #44d813;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;padding: 6px 0;\" class=\"uqr_code_btn\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801<\/button>\r\n           <\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5728\u4e00\u6bb5\u5e73\u9759\u671f\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u8fd1\u51e0\u5468\u518d\u6b21\u71c3\u8d77\u3002\u534e\u76db\u987f\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u51fa\u53e3\u7ba1\u5236\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5219\u4ee5\u9650\u5236\u7a00\u571f\u51fa\u53e3\u4f5c\u4e3a\u56de\u5e94\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u95ee\u9898\u4e13\u5bb6 A [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[79],"tags":[80,4143,10014,82,3350],"class_list":["post-39164","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-79","tag-80","tag-4143","tag-10014","tag-82","tag-3350"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39164","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=39164"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39164\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39165,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39164\/revisions\/39165"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=39164"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=39164"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=39164"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}