{"id":38212,"date":"2025-10-13T16:19:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-13T08:19:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=38212"},"modified":"2025-10-13T16:19:00","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T08:19:00","slug":"%e3%80%90%e6%ad%a3%e9%9d%a2%e3%80%91bloomberg%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e5%87%ba%e5%8f%a3%e6%bf%80%e5%a2%9e%ef%bc%8c%e8%b4%b8%e6%98%93%e8%b0%88%e5%88%a4%e7%ad%b9%e7%a0%81%e5%a2%9e%e5%8a%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=38212","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u6b63\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u6fc0\u589e\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u7b79\u7801\u589e\u52a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u5916\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\u4ee5\u516d\u4e2a\u6708\u6765\u6700\u5feb\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u8fdc\u8d85\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u6469\u64e6\u4e2d\u638c\u63e1\u4e86\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u4e3b\u52a8\u6743\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u5173\u603b\u7f72\u5468\u4e00\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c9\u6708\u4efd\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u957f8.3%\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230\u5e74\u5185\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u6708\u5ea6\u603b\u989d\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6570\u5b57\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d6.6%\u7684\u9884\u671f\u4e2d\u503c\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u5e76\u672a\u51fa\u73b0\u653e\u7f13\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u516d\u4e2a\u6708\u51fa\u73b0\u4e24\u4f4d\u6570\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u4f46\u5bf9\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5f3a\u52b2\u9500\u552e\u589e\u957f\u5f25\u8865\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u7f3a\u53e3\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ee5\u5916\u5730\u533a\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u603b\u989d\u589e\u957f14.8%\uff0c\u4e3a2023\u5e743\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u5feb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6cd5\u56fd\u5174\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\u5927\u4e2d\u534e\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u51fa\u53e3\u5e02\u573a\u591a\u5143\u5316\u548c\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u4f9d\u7136\u4fdd\u6301\u5f3a\u52b2\u3002\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u5bf9\u6574\u4f53\u8d38\u6613\u7684\u6709\u9650\u5f71\u54cd\u53ef\u80fd\u9f13\u52b1\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u4e2d\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u5f3a\u786c\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ee5\u5916\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5f3a\u52b2\u9700\u6c42\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u5e94\u8be5\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u9ad8\u5173\u7a0e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u6d77\u5916\u9500\u552e\u989d\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u4e5f\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u56fd\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b63\u9762\u4e34\u901a\u8d27\u7d27\u7f29\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4ecd\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u626d\u8f6c\u4f4f\u623f\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e0b\u6ed1\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u4e8e10\u670820\u65e5\u516c\u5e03\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u591a\u6570\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u9884\u8ba1\u589e\u901f\u5c06\u8f83\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\u653e\u7f13\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u524d\u4e24\u4e2a\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u5f3a\u52b2\u8868\u73b0\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u6709\u671b\u5b9e\u73b05%\u5de6\u53f3\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u589e\u957f\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e3a\u5e94\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u63d0\u9ad8\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u7eb7\u7eb7\u5bfb\u6c42\u66ff\u4ee3\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u6216\u5c06\u5546\u54c1\u95f4\u63a5\u8fd0\u5f80\u7f8e\u56fd\u3002\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u5bf9\u8d8a\u5357\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\u6fc0\u589e56%\uff0c\u4e3a2021\u5e742\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u5feb\uff1b\u5bf9\u8377\u5170\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\u4ece6\u6708\u548c8\u6708\u7684\u4e0b\u6ed1\u4e2d\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u589e\u957f15.2%\u3002\u5bf9\u6b27\u76df\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\u589e\u957f\u8d85\u8fc714%\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e09\u5e74\u591a\u6765\u6700\u5927\u589e\u5e45\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e1c\u76df\u5341\u56fd\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\u589e\u957f\u8fd116%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8d8a\u5357\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3b\u8981\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\u4e2d\u589e\u5e45\u6700\u5927\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u589e\u901f\u6709\u6240\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u8d8a\u5357\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\u4ecd\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u957f\u3002\u51ef\u6295\u5b8f\u89c2(Capital Economics)\u79f0\u8d8a\u5357\u4e3a\u201c\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u8f6c\u8fd0\u4e2d\u5fc3\u201d\uff0c\u5e76\u8868\u793a\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u8f6c\u8fd0\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u5bf9\u6297\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u7684\u5173\u952e\u624b\u6bb5\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>9\u6708\u4efd\u8fdb\u53e3\u989d\u589e\u957f7.4%\uff0c\u8fdc\u8d85\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u52a0\u5927\u4ece\u65e5\u672c\u3001\u97e9\u56fd\u3001\u8377\u5170\u548c\u53f0\u6e7e\u7b49\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\u7684\u91c7\u8d2d\u3002\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u4e2d\u56fd\u6574\u4f53\u8d38\u6613\u987a\u5dee\u8fbe\u5230905\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8f832024\u5e74\u540c\u6708\u589e\u957f\u8fd111%\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u6682\u7f13\u8d2d\u4e70\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u8c46\u7b49\u5546\u54c1\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u987a\u5dee\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u4ece8\u6708\u7565\u5fae\u6269\u5927\u81f39\u6708\u7684\u8fd1230\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u6b27\u76df\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\u8d85\u8fc7\u8fdb\u53e3\u989d\u8fd1230\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5bf9\u6b27\u76df\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u987a\u5dee\u964d\u81f33\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u5173\u603b\u7f72\u526f\u7f72\u957f\u738b\u519b\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u5bf9\u8bb0\u8005\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u5f53\u524d\u5916\u90e8\u73af\u5883\u4f9d\u7136\u4e25\u5cfb\u590d\u6742\uff0c\u5916\u8d38\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u548c\u56f0\u96be\u589e\u591a\u3002\u8003\u8651\u5230\u53bb\u5e74\u7684\u9ad8\u57fa\u6570\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u52aa\u529b\u7a33\u5b9a\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u8303\u56f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u5168\u7403\u51fa\u53e3\u7ba1\u5236\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u542b\u6709\u67d0\u4e9b\u7a00\u571f\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5a01\u80c1\u8981\u53d6\u6d88\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u8ba1\u5212\u4e2d\u7684\u9762\u5bf9\u9762\u4f1a\u6664\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u662f\u4ed6\u4eec\u516d\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u4f1a\u6664\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u8fd8\u5ba3\u5e03\u8ba1\u5212\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\u989d\u5916\u5f81\u6536100%\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5e76\u5168\u9762\u9650\u5236\u201c\u4efb\u4f55\u53ca\u6240\u6709\u5173\u952e\u8f6f\u4ef6\u201d\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u540e\u6765\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u613f\u610f\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fbe\u6210\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e73\u606f\u65b0\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u8b66\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6700\u8fd1\u5ba3\u5e03\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u7ba1\u5236\u662f\u8c08\u5224\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u969c\u788d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u957f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u5c06\u572811\u670810\u65e5\u5173\u7a0e\u8d38\u6613\u4f11\u6218\u671f\u5230\u671f\u524d\uff0c\u5728\u5fb7\u56fd\u6cd5\u5170\u514b\u798f\u4e3e\u884c\u53e6\u4e00\u8f6e\u4f1a\u8c08\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f6d\u535a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76(Bloomberg Economics)\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52a0\u5f81100%\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u5c06\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u6709\u6548\u7a0e\u7387\u63d0\u9ad8\u5230140%\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6c34\u5e73\u5c06\u627c\u6740\u8d38\u6613\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u7a0e\u7387\u6bd4\u4e16\u754c\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u9ad8\u51fa25\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u9886\u57df\u7684\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d\u4f7f\u5176\u51fa\u53e3\u4fdd\u6301\u7545\u901a\u3002\u8377\u5170\u56fd\u9645\u96c6\u56e2(ING Bank NV)\u5927\u4e2d\u534e\u533a\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u589e\u957f\u6700\u5feb\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u4ea7\u54c1\uff08\u4ece\u9502\u7535\u6c60\u5230\u8239\u8236\u548c\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\uff09\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u655e\u53e3\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u5e94\u8be5\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u5317\u4eac\u63a7\u5236\u8d38\u6613\u4e2d\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e2d\u65ad\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u4eca\u5e74\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u4e0d\u5e0c\u671b\u53d1\u751f\u8d38\u6613\u6218\uff0c\u4f46\u613f\u610f\u6839\u636e\u9700\u8981\u5bf9\u4e8b\u6001\u5347\u7ea7\u505a\u51fa\u56de\u5e94\u3002\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u97e7\u6027\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u589e\u5f3a\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u672c\u6708\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u4f1a\u8c08\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002\u201d <\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u5206\u6790\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/b>gemma2<br \/><b>\u5f97\u5206\uff1a<\/b>40<br \/><b>\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre-wrap;font-size: inherit;\">\u6587\u7ae0\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u7a81\u51fa\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u97e7\u6027\u4ee5\u53ca\u5e94\u5bf9\u8d38\u6613\u6469\u64e6\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c55\u73b0\u51fa\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u589e\u957f\u6f5c\u529b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u662f\u6b63\u9762\u4fe1\u606f\u3002<\/pre>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-10-13\/china-s-exports-rise-faster-than-expected-as-trade-war-escalates\" target=\"_blank\">Chinese Exports Soar, Giving Xi Stronger Hand in Trade Fight<\/a><br \/> <b>\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2025-10-13<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 20px 0;\"><div class=\"qrcswholewtapper\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><div class=\"qrcprowrapper\"  id=\"qrcwraa2leds\"><div class=\"qrc_canvass\" id=\"qrc_cuttenpages_2\" style=\"display:inline-block\" data-text=\"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=38212\"><\/div><div><a download=\"\u3010\u6b63\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u6fc0\u589e\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u7b79\u7801\u589e\u52a0.png\" class=\"qrcdownloads\" id=\"worign\">\r\n           <button type=\"button\" style=\"min-width:200px;background:#44d813;color:#000;font-weight: 600;border: 1px solid #44d813;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;padding: 6px 0;\" class=\"uqr_code_btn\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801<\/button>\r\n           <\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u5916\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\u4ee5\u516d\u4e2a\u6708\u6765\u6700\u5feb\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u8fdc\u8d85\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u6469\u64e6\u4e2d\u638c\u63e1\u4e86\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u4e3b\u52a8\u6743\u3002 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[79],"tags":[93,78,303,3350,8109],"class_list":["post-38212","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-79","tag-93","tag-78","tag-303","tag-3350","tag-8109"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38212","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=38212"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38212\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38213,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38212\/revisions\/38213"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=38212"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=38212"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=38212"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}