{"id":31864,"date":"2025-07-21T22:14:05","date_gmt":"2025-07-21T14:14:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=31864"},"modified":"2025-07-21T22:14:05","modified_gmt":"2025-07-21T14:14:05","slug":"%e3%80%90%e8%b4%9f%e9%9d%a2%e3%80%91bloomberg%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e5%b7%a5%e8%b5%84%e5%a2%9e%e9%95%bf%e9%9d%a2%e4%b8%b4%e6%8c%91%e6%88%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=31864","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u8d1f\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u5de5\u8d44\u589e\u957f\u9762\u4e34\u6311\u6218"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>**\u9ad8\u76db\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5de5\u8d44\u589e\u957f\u964d\u81f3\u75ab\u60c5\u5916\u6700\u5f31\u6c34\u5e73**<\/p>\n<p>\u9ad8\u76db\u96c6\u56e2\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u53e6\u7c7b\u6307\u6807\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5df2\u653e\u7f13\u81f3\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u5f31\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u968f\u7740\u6d77\u5916\u98ce\u9669\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u56fd\u5185\u6d88\u8d39\u9762\u4e34\u963b\u788d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u9ad8\u76db\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u56e2\u961f\u5468\u65e5\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u8ddf\u8e2a\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u5de5\u8d44\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u957f3.9%\uff0c\u4e3a\u6709\u8bb0\u5f55\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff08\u75ab\u60c5\u671f\u95f4\u9664\u5916\uff09\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6570\u5b57\u6bd4\u4eca\u5e74\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e3a\u6b62\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u4f4e\u7ea6\u4e00\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u81ea2023\u5e74\u521d\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ece\u75ab\u60c5\u4e2d\u6062\u590d\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5de5\u8d44\u6269\u5f20\u201c\u5448\u4e0b\u964d\u8d8b\u52bf\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5de5\u8d44\u8ffd\u8e2a\u62a5\u544a\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5de5\u8d44\u589e\u957f\u7f13\u6162\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bf92025\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u589e\u957f\u6784\u6210\u963b\u529b\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u5c06\u51fa\u53f0\u66f4\u591a\u6709\u9488\u5bf9\u6027\u7684\u5bbd\u677e\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4ee5\u7f13\u89e3\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u653f\u5e9c\u8865\u8d34\u8d2d\u4e70\u667a\u80fd\u624b\u673a\u3001\u5bb6\u7528\u7535\u5668\u548c\u6c7d\u8f66\u7b49\u5546\u54c1\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d88\u8d39\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u4f46\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u5de5\u8d44\u589e\u957f\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u6d88\u8d39\u6301\u7eed\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u969c\u788d\u3002\u5c31\u4e1a\u524d\u666f\u9eef\u6de1\u4e5f\u5bf9\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u5728\u4ea7\u4e1a\u95f4\u8fdb\u884c\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u8c03\u6574\u6784\u6210\u91cd\u5927\u5236\u7ea6\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6574\u5408\u548c\u51cf\u5c11\u751f\u4ea7\u610f\u5473\u7740\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u88c1\u51cf\u66f4\u591a\u5de5\u4eba\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5c06\u91c7\u53d6\u5faa\u5e8f\u6e10\u8fdb\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6765\u63a7\u5236\u8fc7\u5269\u4ea7\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u85aa\u916c\u538b\u529b\u6b63\u5728\u51cf\u5f31\u3002\u5b98\u65b9\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c2024\u5e74\u79c1\u8425\u4f01\u4e1a\u5e73\u5747\u5e74\u85aa\u4ec5\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u957f1.7%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u72ec\u7acb\u6570\u636e\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u72b6\u51b5\u66f4\u96be\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u72b6\u51b5\u53d8\u5f97\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u56f0\u96be\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b98\u65b9\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u5f80\u5f80\u6de1\u5316\u4e86\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e3a\u4e86\u89c4\u907f\u6570\u636e\u532e\u4e4f\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u9ad8\u76db\u8fd1\u671f\u6539\u8fdb\u4e86\u5176\u5de5\u8d44\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u7eb3\u5165\u4e86\u5305\u62ec\u5404\u9879\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u5206\u9879\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u4fdd\u9669\u57fa\u91d1\u7684\u652f\u51fa\uff08\u5931\u4e1a\u5de5\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u7533\u9886\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53e6\u7c7b\u6307\u6807\u53d6\u4ee3\u4e86\u6765\u81ea\u4e2d\u56fd\u6700\u5927\u5728\u7ebf\u62db\u8058\u5e73\u53f0\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bb6\u5ead\u6536\u5165\u548c\u60c5\u7eea\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9664\u4e86\u9ad8\u76db\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e5f\u4f7f\u7528PMI\u6765\u5ba1\u67e5\u5c31\u4e1a\u72b6\u51b5\u3002\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8c03\u67e5\u4e0e\u5b98\u65b9\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u51fa\u73b0\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u524d\u8005\u8868\u660e\u6301\u7eed\u4f4e\u8ff7\uff0c\u800c\u540e\u8005\u57fa\u672c\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u516c\u53f8Gavekal Dragonomics\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u5206\u6790\u5e08Cui Ernan\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5206\u6b67\u53ef\u80fd\u6e90\u4e8e\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u662f\u81ea\u96c7\u4eba\u58eb\u6216\u4ece\u4e8b\u5176\u4ed6\u975e\u6b63\u89c4\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5de5\u4f5c\u672a\u88ab\u5927\u578b\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u6240\u6355\u6349\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u88ab\u5b98\u65b9\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u8ba1\u7b97\u5728\u5185\u3002Gavekal\u5728\u672c\u6708\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u5de5\u8d44\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u7531\u4e8e\u7f3a\u4e4f\u6b63\u5f0f\u5de5\u4f5c\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u4eba\u88ab\u8feb\u4ece\u4e8b\u81ea\u96c7\u6216\u7075\u6d3b\u5c31\u4e1a\u3002\u201c\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u603b\u4f53\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5927\u4f53\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4e00\u76f4\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u201dCui\u5728\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\u3002\u201c\u5728\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u771f\u6b63\u6536\u7d27\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5bb6\u5ead\u4fe1\u5fc3\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u53cd\u5f39\u3002\u201d <\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u5206\u6790\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/b>gemma2<br \/><b>\u5f97\u5206\uff1a<\/b>-40<br \/><b>\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre-wrap;font-size: inherit;\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e3b\u8981\u5173\u6ce8\u4e2d\u56fd\u5de5\u8d44\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u3001\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u75b2\u8f6f\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u5c5e\u4e8e\u8d1f\u9762\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u867d\u7136\u6587\u7ae0\u4e5f\u63d0\u5230\u4e86\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5e94\u5bf9\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4f46\u6574\u4f53\u57fa\u8c03\u504f\u5411\u4e8e\u5f3a\u8c03\u95ee\u9898\u548c\u6311\u6218\u3002<\/pre>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-07-21\/goldman-parses-china-data-finds-worst-wage-growth-outside-covid\" target=\"_blank\">Goldman Finds China Enduring Worst Wage Growth Outside Covid<\/a><br \/> <b>\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2025-07-21<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 20px 0;\"><div class=\"qrcswholewtapper\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><div class=\"qrcprowrapper\"  id=\"qrcwraa2leds\"><div class=\"qrc_canvass\" id=\"qrc_cuttenpages_2\" style=\"display:inline-block\" data-text=\"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=31864\"><\/div><div><a download=\"\u3010\u8d1f\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u5de5\u8d44\u589e\u957f\u9762\u4e34\u6311\u6218.png\" class=\"qrcdownloads\" id=\"worign\">\r\n           <button type=\"button\" style=\"min-width:200px;background:#44d813;color:#000;font-weight: 600;border: 1px solid #44d813;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;padding: 6px 0;\" class=\"uqr_code_btn\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801<\/button>\r\n           <\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>**\u9ad8\u76db\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5de5\u8d44\u589e\u957f\u964d\u81f3\u75ab\u60c5\u5916\u6700\u5f31\u6c34\u5e73** \u9ad8\u76db\u96c6\u56e2\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u53e6\u7c7b\u6307\u6807\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5df2\u653e\u7f13\u81f3\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[79],"tags":[1464,8653,19539,242,1709],"class_list":["post-31864","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-79","tag-1464","tag-8653","tag-19539","tag-242","tag-1709"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31864","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=31864"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31864\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":31865,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31864\/revisions\/31865"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=31864"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=31864"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=31864"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}