{"id":30066,"date":"2025-06-30T16:18:19","date_gmt":"2025-06-30T08:18:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=30066"},"modified":"2025-06-30T16:18:19","modified_gmt":"2025-06-30T08:18:19","slug":"%e3%80%90%e6%ad%a3%e9%9d%a2%e3%80%91bloomberg%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e7%8e%b0%e5%a4%8d%e8%8b%8f%e8%bf%b9%e8%b1%a1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=30066","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u6b63\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u73b0\u590d\u82cf\u8ff9\u8c61"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>**\u4e2d\u56fd\u5de5\u5382\u6d3b\u52a8\u6536\u7f29\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u4f11\u6218\u540e\u73b0\u590d\u82cf\u8ff9\u8c61**<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u901a\u8d27\u7d27\u7f29\u538b\u529b\u6301\u7eed\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u5c31\u4e1a\u60c5\u51b5\u6709\u6240\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u6539\u5584\u8ff9\u8c61\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u65b9\u9762\u9762\u4e34\u7f8e\u56fd\u66f4\u9ad8\u5173\u7a0e\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5b9e\u65bd\u8d27\u5e01\u523a\u6fc0\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u53d8\u5f97\u6e3a\u832b\u3002\u6839\u636e\u5468\u4e00\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b98\u65b9\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\u663e\u793a\uff0c6\u6708\u4efd\u5de5\u5382\u6d3b\u52a8\u548c\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u5747\u5f55\u5f97\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u6700\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u6708\u4efd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b98\u65b9\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u6536\u7f29\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u4f46\u4ece5\u6708\u4efd\u768449.5\u5347\u81f349.7\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5efa\u7b51\u4e1a\u548c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u4e5f\u51fa\u73b0\u589e\u957f\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u80cc\u540e\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u4e16\u754c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u66f4\u52a0\u590d\u6742\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u662f\u5426\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f55\u65f6\u4f1a\u52a0\u5927\u523a\u6fc0\u529b\u5ea6\u3002\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u4eec\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5bf9\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d27\u5e01\u5bbd\u677e\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u62bc\u6ce8\uff0c30\u5e74\u671f\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u671f\u8d27\u4e0b\u8dcc\u591a\u8fbe0.6%\uff0c\u521b\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u5927\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6cd5\u56fd\u5174\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\uff08Societe Generale SA\uff09\u5927\u4e2d\u534e\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0cPMI\u6570\u636e\u7684\u6539\u5584\u8868\u660e\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u4ecd\u6709\u4e0d\u9519\u7684\u589e\u957f\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u4f46\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u8ba9\u4eba\u6000\u7591\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u4f11\u6218\u5bfc\u81f4\u8d38\u6613\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4e86\u5de5\u5382\u3001\u5efa\u7b51\u5546\u548c\u670d\u52a1\u63d0\u4f9b\u5546\u65b0\u8ba2\u5355\u7684\u5e7f\u6cdb\u6539\u5584\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u7684PMI\u8bfb\u6570\u6db5\u76d6\u4e86\u5317\u4eac\u548c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u540c\u610f\u6682\u505c\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u540e\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5b8c\u6574\u6708\u4efd\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5404\u884c\u4e1a\u9500\u552e\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u964d\u5e45\u6709\u6240\u6536\u7a84\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u5728\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u5185\u9700\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u5b58\u5728\u9690\u60a3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u94f6\u884c\u5728\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u5b63\u5ea6\u4f1a\u8bae\u540e\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u52bf\u4f5c\u51fa\u4e86\u66f4\u4e3a\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u4eec\u6b63\u5728\u4e89\u8bba\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u5f53\u5c40\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u63a8\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u652f\u6301\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6269\u5f20\u901f\u5ea6\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u5b9e\u73b0\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea65%\u5de6\u53f3\u5b98\u65b9\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u8f68\u9053\u4e0a\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u653e\u677e\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5df2\u7ecf\u964d\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u5de5\u5382\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u751f\u4ea7\u6307\u6570\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u6765\u9996\u6b21\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u95f4\u4ea7\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u57285\u6708\u4efd\u7565\u6709\u6539\u5584\u540e\u518d\u6b21\u6076\u5316\u3002\u6839\u636e\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5728\u63a5\u53d7\u8c03\u67e5\u768421\u4e2a\u884c\u4e1a\u4e2d\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u534a\u5904\u4e8e\u6269\u5f20\u533a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u826f\u597d\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u53cd\u590d\u65e0\u5e38\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u4e00\u4f1a\u513f\u63d0\u9ad8\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4e00\u4f1a\u513f\u53c8\u6682\u505c\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u6301\u7eed\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6d77\u5916\u5ba2\u6237\u63d0\u524d\u4e0b\u5355\uff0c\u800c\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u6d88\u8d39\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u8865\u8d34\u8ba1\u5212\u63a8\u52a8\u96f6\u552e\u989d\u589e\u957f\u81f3\u5468\u671f\u6027\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4eca\u5e74\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u53d1\u884c\u7684\u503a\u5238\u4e5f\u4e3a\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u548c\u5efa\u7b51\u4e1a\u7684\u5f3a\u52b2\u589e\u957f\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u652f\u6301\u3002\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u7d27\u7f29\u548c\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u9700\u6c42\u5728\u6574\u4e2a\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u671f\u95f4\u4e00\u76f4\u56f0\u6270\u7740\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u4ef7\u683c\u96be\u4ee5\u89e6\u5e95\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u7ed9\u5bb6\u5ead\u8d22\u5bcc\u548c\u4fe1\u5fc3\u5e26\u6765\u538b\u529b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0a\u7684\u590d\u6742\u56e0\u7d20\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4f7f\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u53d8\u5f97\u590d\u6742\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u94f6\u884c\u5728\u5468\u4e94\u7684\u5b63\u5ea6\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u63d0\u8bf7\u6ce8\u610f\u9700\u6c42\u4e0d\u8db3\u548c\u6d88\u8d39\u4ef7\u683c\u4f4e\u8ff7\u7b49\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u592e\u884c\u8a93\u8a00\u5728\u51b3\u5b9a\u653f\u7b56\u6b65\u4f10\u65f6\u5c06\u91c7\u53d6\u7075\u6d3b\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u592e\u884c\u4e0a\u4e00\u6b21\u4e0b\u8c03\u5229\u7387\u548c\u5b58\u6b3e\u51c6\u5907\u91d1\u7387\uff08\u51b3\u5b9a\u94f6\u884c\u5fc5\u987b\u4ee5\u51c6\u5907\u91d1\u5f62\u5f0f\u8bbe\u5b9a\u7684\u73b0\u91d1\u6570\u989d\uff09\u662f\u57285\u6708\u4efd\u3002\u201c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5448\u73b0\u79ef\u6781\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6301\u7eed\u589e\u5f3a\uff0c\u201d\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u94f6\u884c\u8868\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9ad8\u76db\u96c6\u56e2\uff08Goldman Sachs Group 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SA\uff09\u7684\u6797\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u672b\u51fa\u73b0\u989d\u5916\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u7a97\u53e3\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u63a8\u8fdf\u5230\u968f\u540e\u7684\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9664\u4e86\u8d27\u5e01\u5bbd\u677e\u653f\u7b56\u5916\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u5229\u7528\u653f\u7b56\u6027\u94f6\u884c\u5411\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u6ce8\u5165\u65b0\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u3002\u5f6d\u535a\u65b0\u95fb\u793e\u57285\u6708\u4efd\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\uff0c\u5f53\u5c40\u8ba1\u5212\u5141\u8bb8\u4ed6\u4eec\u7b79\u96c65000\u4ebf\u5143\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\uff08700\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u8d2d\u4e70\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u80a1\u4efd\u3002\u8d22\u653f\u523a\u6fc0\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5176\u5f62\u5f0f\u751a\u81f3\u4e0d\u592a\u660e\u786e\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u663e\u8457\u653e\u7f13\u3002\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\uff08Morgan Stanley\uff09\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u672b\u6216\u4eca\u5e74\u6700\u540e\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u5f00\u59cb\u63a8\u51fa\u201c\u9002\u5ea6\u7684\u201d\u8865\u5145\u8d22\u653f\u6ce8\u5165\uff0c\u89c4\u6a21\u9ad8\u8fbe1\u4e07\u4ebf\u5143\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\uff0c\u201c\u5c4a\u65f6\u5b83\u4f1a\u770b\u5230\u4e24\u5230\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u786c\u6570\u636e\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9274\u4e8e\u51fa\u53e3\u524d\u666f\u96be\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u66f4\u6301\u4e45\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u4ecd\u7136\u96be\u4ee5\u8fbe\u6210\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5269\u4f59\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\u7684\u5b9e\u529b\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u7591\u95ee\u3002\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u8c03\u67e5\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u5c06\u589e\u957f4.5%\uff0c\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e5%\u5de6\u53f3\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u6fb3\u6d32\u548c\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u94f6\u884c\u96c6\u56e2\u6709\u9650\u516c\u53f8\uff08Australia &#038; New Zealand Banking Group Ltd.\uff09\u5927\u4e2d\u534e\u533a\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u901a\u8d27\u7d27\u7f29\u548c\u5931\u4e1a\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u589e\u957f\u3002\u6211\u4e0d\u62c5\u5fc3\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684GDP\u3002\u201d <\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u5206\u6790\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/b>gemma2<br \/><b>\u5f97\u5206\uff1a<\/b>10<br \/><b>\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre-wrap;font-size: inherit;\">\u6587\u7ae0\u80af\u5b9a\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u51fa\u73b0\u6539\u5584\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\uff0c\u5982PMI\u6570\u636e\u8d85\u9884\u671f\u3001\u8d38\u6613\u53cd\u5f39\u7b49\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u80fd\u91c7\u53d6\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u652f\u6301\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002\u867d\u7136\u4e5f\u63d0\u5230\u4e86\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u4f46\u6574\u4f53\u57fa\u8c03\u504f\u5411\u4e50\u89c2\u3002<\/pre>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-06-30\/china-factory-activity-contraction-eases-again-after-trade-truce\" target=\"_blank\">China Factory Activity Contraction Eases Again After Trump Trade Truce<\/a><br \/> <b>\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2025-06-30<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 20px 0;\"><div class=\"qrcswholewtapper\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><div class=\"qrcprowrapper\"  id=\"qrcwraa2leds\"><div class=\"qrc_canvass\" id=\"qrc_cuttenpages_2\" style=\"display:inline-block\" data-text=\"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=30066\"><\/div><div><a download=\"\u3010\u6b63\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u73b0\u590d\u82cf\u8ff9\u8c61.png\" class=\"qrcdownloads\" id=\"worign\">\r\n           <button type=\"button\" style=\"min-width:200px;background:#44d813;color:#000;font-weight: 600;border: 1px solid #44d813;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;padding: 6px 0;\" class=\"uqr_code_btn\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801<\/button>\r\n           <\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>**\u4e2d\u56fd\u5de5\u5382\u6d3b\u52a8\u6536\u7f29\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u4f11\u6218\u540e\u73b0\u590d\u82cf\u8ff9\u8c61** \u5c3d\u7ba1\u901a\u8d27\u7d27\u7f29\u538b\u529b\u6301\u7eed\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u5c31\u4e1a\u60c5\u51b5\u6709\u6240\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u51fa [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[79],"tags":[7092,566,2531,2773,3350],"class_list":["post-30066","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-79","tag-pmi","tag-566","tag-2531","tag-2773","tag-3350"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30066","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=30066"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30066\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30067,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30066\/revisions\/30067"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=30066"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=30066"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=30066"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}