{"id":26980,"date":"2025-05-28T22:15:37","date_gmt":"2025-05-28T14:15:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=26980"},"modified":"2025-05-28T22:15:37","modified_gmt":"2025-05-28T14:15:37","slug":"%e3%80%90%e8%b4%9f%e9%9d%a2%e3%80%91bloomberg%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%ef%bc%9a%e9%80%9a%e7%bc%a9%e9%98%b4%e5%bd%b1%e6%8c%a5%e4%b9%8b%e4%b8%8d%e5%8e%bb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=26980","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u8d1f\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff1a\u901a\u7f29\u9634\u5f71\u6325\u4e4b\u4e0d\u53bb"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>**\u4e2d\u56fd\u901a\u7f29\u62c5\u5fe7\u76d6\u8fc7\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7f13\u548c\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u5982\u662f\u8bf4**<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u4f11\u6218\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u4e2d\u56fd\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u7d27\u7f29\u538b\u529b\u5c06\u4f1a\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e5f\u4e0a\u8c03\u4e86\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eca\u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u548c\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u81ea2023\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u8fdb\u884c\u6b64\u9879\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u9884\u8ba12025\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\uff08CPI\uff09\u540c\u6bd4\u4ec5\u589e\u957f0.3%\uff0c\u4e3a\u8c03\u67e5\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e4\u6708\u4efd\u9884\u6d4b\u76840.4%\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2\u8fde\u7eed\u4e24\u5e74\u51fa\u73b0\u7269\u4ef7\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u8fde\u7eed\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u4f4e\u4e8e\u96f6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u540c\u610f\u6682\u65f6\u964d\u4f4e\u5f7c\u6b64\u52a0\u5f81\u7684\u60e9\u7f5a\u6027\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4f46\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e16\u754c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u7269\u4ef7\u524d\u666f\u5374\u5728\u6076\u5316\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\u5bf967\u4f4d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u548c\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff08GDP\uff09\u5c06\u589e\u957f5%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u6b64\u524d\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d4.2%\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Scope Ratings\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u6570\u636e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5728\u5173\u7a0e\u8c08\u5224\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5177\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u97e7\u6027\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u901a\u8d27\u7d27\u7f29\u538b\u529b\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u6838\u5fc3\u7684\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6311\u6218\u3002\u201d\u5173\u7a0e\u7684\u6682\u65f6\u7f13\u89e3\u5bf9\u4e8e\u53d7\u56fd\u5185\u9700\u6c42\u75b2\u8f6f\u548c\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u957f\u671f\u4f4e\u8ff7\u56f0\u6270\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u4f5c\u7528\u5fae\u4e4e\u5176\u5fae\u3002\u901a\u8d27\u7d27\u7f29\u6b63\u5728\u4fb5\u8680\u4f01\u4e1a\u5229\u6da6\u548c\u5de5\u4eba\u6536\u5165\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u6076\u6027\u5faa\u73af\uff0c\u5e76\u5bfc\u81f4\u7269\u4ef7\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08IMF\uff09\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e3a\u96f6\uff0c\u662f\u5176\u8986\u76d6\u7684\u8fd1200\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e2d\u6700\u4f4e\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u5c06\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u81ea\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u51b2\u51fb\u51fa\u53e3\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u75b2\u8f6f\u6570\u636e\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6fc0\u70c8\u7ade\u4e89\u4ecd\u5728\u7ee7\u7eed\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e9a\u8fea\u516c\u53f8\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u8fd1\u5341\u51e0\u79cd\u7535\u52a8\u548c\u63d2\u7535\u5f0f\u6df7\u5408\u52a8\u529b\u8f66\u578b\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\u5e02\u573a\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u964d\u4ef7\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5373\u4fbf\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e3a\u671f90\u5929\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u6682\u505c\u534f\u8bae\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u7ade\u76f8\u63d0\u524d\u4e0b\u5355\u3002\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u4fee\u6539\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf92025\u5e74\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u51fa\u53e3\u5c06\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u957f1.1%\uff0c\u4e0e4\u6708\u4efd\u9884\u8ba1\u76841%\u7684\u6536\u7f29\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u6709\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u63d0\u5347\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u8d38\u6613\uff0c\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u8c03\u67e5\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8fd8\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eca\u5e74\u5de5\u4e1a\u4ea7\u51fa\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u589e\u957f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u66f4\u6709\u5229\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u80cc\u666f\u4e5f\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u63a8\u51fa\u6bd4\u5e02\u573a\u6b64\u524d\u9884\u671f\u7684\u66f4\u4e3a\u8c28\u614e\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u56fd\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u8d22\u653f\u548c\u8d27\u5e01\u523a\u6fc0\u3002\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u94f6\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u5c06\u4e3b\u8981\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff08\u5373\u5411\u94f6\u884c\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u4e03\u5929\u671f\u8d44\u91d1\u6210\u672c\uff09\u4e0b\u8c03\u4ec510\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u5b58\u6b3e\u51c6\u5907\u91d1\u7387\u5c06\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u6700\u540e\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u4e0b\u8c0350\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002\u5317\u4eac\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u514b\u5236\u53ea\u4f1a\u52a0\u5267\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u63d0\u632f\u56fd\u5185\u9700\u6c42\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u6000\u7591\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u9762\u4e34\u81ea20\u4e16\u7eaa60\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u957f\u7684\u7269\u4ef7\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u672c\u6708\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\u9ad8\u5ea6\u7d27\u5f20\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u964d\u4f4e\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u548c\u5b58\u6b3e\u51c6\u5907\u91d1\u7387\u7684\u538b\u529b\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u9884\u8ba1\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\uff08PPI\uff09\u4eca\u5e74\u5c06\u4e0b\u964d2%\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e4b\u524d\u4f30\u8ba1\u76841.8%\u66f4\u7cdf\u30022025\u5e74\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0b\u964d\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Maybank Securities\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u6574\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u75b2\u8f6f\u6b63\u53d8\u5f97\u6839\u6df1\u8482\u56fa\u3002\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u5b9a\u4ef7\u80fd\u529b\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u516c\u53f8\u5229\u6da6\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u5f71\u54cd\u5c31\u4e1a\u548c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u652f\u51fa\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u4fc3\u8fdb\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u7e41\u8363\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u9700\u8981\u653f\u7b56\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u201d <\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u5206\u6790\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/b>gemma2<br \/><b>\u5f97\u5206\uff1a<\/b>-60<br \/><b>\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre-wrap;font-size: inherit;\">\u6587\u7ae0\u867d\u7136\u63d0\u5230\u4e86\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7684\u7f13\u548c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u4e0a\u8c03\uff0c\u4f46\u4e3b\u8981\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u7d27\u7f29\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u5e76\u8be6\u7ec6\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e86\u901a\u7f29\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4f01\u4e1a\u5229\u6da6\u4e0b\u964d\u3001\u5de5\u4eba\u6536\u5165\u53d7\u635f\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u75b2\u8f6f\u7b49\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6587\u7ae0\u8fd8\u63d0\u5230\u4e86\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u4f4e\u8ff7\u3001\u4f01\u4e1a\u964d\u4ef7\u7ade\u4e89\u7b49\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002<\/pre>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-05-28\/china-deflation-worry-deepens-among-economists-after-trade-truce\" target=\"_blank\">China Deflation Worry Is Eclipsing Trade War Thaw for Economists<\/a><br \/> <b>\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2025-05-28<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 20px 0;\"><div class=\"qrcswholewtapper\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><div class=\"qrcprowrapper\"  id=\"qrcwraa2leds\"><div class=\"qrc_canvass\" id=\"qrc_cuttenpages_2\" style=\"display:inline-block\" data-text=\"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=26980\"><\/div><div><a download=\"\u3010\u8d1f\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff1a\u901a\u7f29\u9634\u5f71\u6325\u4e4b\u4e0d\u53bb.png\" class=\"qrcdownloads\" id=\"worign\">\r\n           <button type=\"button\" style=\"min-width:200px;background:#44d813;color:#000;font-weight: 600;border: 1px solid #44d813;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;padding: 6px 0;\" class=\"uqr_code_btn\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801<\/button>\r\n           <\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>**\u4e2d\u56fd\u901a\u7f29\u62c5\u5fe7\u76d6\u8fc7\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7f13\u548c\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u5982\u662f\u8bf4** \u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u4f11\u6218\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u4e2d\u56fd\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u7d27\u7f29\u538b\u529b\u5c06 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[79],"tags":[78,10391,75,3350,1468],"class_list":["post-26980","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-79","tag-78","tag-10391","tag-75","tag-3350","tag-1468"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26980","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=26980"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26980\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26981,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26980\/revisions\/26981"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=26980"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=26980"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=26980"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}