{"id":2368,"date":"2024-10-02T23:24:19","date_gmt":"2024-10-02T15:24:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=2368"},"modified":"2024-10-02T23:24:19","modified_gmt":"2024-10-02T15:24:19","slug":"%e5%b2%9b%e7%94%b0%e5%8d%9a%e9%9b%84%e8%8b%a5%e6%88%90%e4%b8%ba%e6%97%a5%e6%9c%ac%e4%b8%8b%e4%bb%bb%e6%80%bb%e7%90%86%e6%88%96%e8%87%b4%e4%b8%ad%e7%be%8e%e4%b8%8d%e6%82%a6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=2368","title":{"rendered":"\u5c9b\u7530\u535a\u96c4\u82e5\u6210\u4e3a\u65e5\u672c\u4e0b\u4efb\u603b\u7406\u6216\u81f4\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e0d\u60a6"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u5728\u80dc\u5229\u524d\uff0c\u77f3\u7834\u8302\u66fe\u53c2\u4e0e\u52a8\u6f2b\u300a\u9f99\u73e0\u300b\u7684cosplay\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee5\u8be5\u89d2\u8272\u7684\u5f62\u8c61\u51fa\u73b0\u5728\u793e\u4ea4\u5e73\u53f0X\u4e0a\u2014\u2014\u5176\u80fd\u529b\u53ef\u6467\u6bc1\u884c\u661f\u548c\u661f\u7cfb\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u9996\u76f8\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u5177\u5907\u975e\u51e1\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u65e0\u9700\u7279\u522b\u7684\u88c5\u626e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u603b\u7edf\u5f17\u62c9\u57fa\u7c73\u5c14\u00b7\u666e\u4eac\u5728\u5ba3\u5e03\u65b0\u7684\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u4f7f\u7528\u89c4\u5219\u540e\u786e\u5b9a\u4e86\u66f4\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u6218\u7565\u6307\u5bfc\u65b9\u9488\u3002\u666e\u4eac\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u9274\u4e8e\u73b0\u4ee3\u519b\u4e8b\u653f\u6cbb\u73af\u5883\u8fc5\u901f\u53d8\u5316\u53ca\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e0e\u76df\u53cb\u6784\u6210\u7684\u65b0\u5a01\u80c1\u6e90\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u8fdb\u884c\u8003\u8651\u3002\u201dMarc Champion\u65e9\u5728\u51e0\u5468\u524d\u5c31\u5bf9\u6b64\u8d8b\u52bf\u505a\u4e86\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5e76\u5f3a\u8c03\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b58\u5728\u6838\u6253\u51fb\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u98ce\u9669\u4f9d\u7136\u9065\u8fdc\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0cMarc\u8865\u5145\u5230\u6700\u65b0\u6218\u7565\u53d8\u9769\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u6062\u590d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5728\u6838\u5a01\u80c1\u4e0a\u5931\u7075\u7684\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\uff0c\u800c\u5e76\u672a\u5b9e\u8d28\u6d88\u9664\u5b9e\u65bd\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6838\u653b\u51fb\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u969c\u788d\u3002\u666e\u4eac\u4f7f\u7528\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u201c\u5c06\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u83b7\u5f97\u4efb\u4f55\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u5374\u5e26\u6765\u91cd\u5927\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

Hal Brands\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u666e\u4eac\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u5e76\u4e0d\u5728\u4e8e\u6838\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5728\u4e8e\u6301\u7eed\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u8fdb\u884c\u7834\u574f\u4e0e\u98a0\u8986\u7684\u6218\u7565\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u901a\u8fc7\u5728\u7ea2\u6d77\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u51b2\u7a81\u533a\u57df\u52a0\u5267\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u52a8\u8361\u3002\u4ed6\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u5f71\u54cd\u8303\u56f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5178\u8303\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9a6c\u514b\u00b7\u65af\u901a\u5fb7\u65af\u7279\u5fb7\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u51fa\u7684\u989d\u5916\u5347\u7ea7\u8b66\u544a\u4e4b\u4e00\u2014\u2014\u4e4c\u603b\u7edf\u6cfd\u4f26\u65af\u57fa\u6240\u900f\u9732\u7684\u60c5\u62a5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u519b\u961f\u6b63\u5728\u7b56\u5212\u653b\u51fb\u5e76\u5173\u95ed\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5269\u4f59\u6838\u7535\u7ad9\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5176\u88ab\u8f70\u70b8\uff1b\u8fd9\u4e00\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u6b63\u65e5\u76ca\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n

Chris \u62dc\u6069\u7279\u5f15\u7528\u6587\u7ae0\u300a\u67cf\u6797\u7684\u97f3\u4e50\u9769\u547d\uff1a\u6280\u672f\u573a\u666f\u7684\u5b58\u5728\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u5386\u53f2\u5947\u89c2\u300b\uff0c\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u67cf\u6797\u591c\u751f\u6d3b\u6587\u5316\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u80cc\u666f\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b83\u5982\u4f55\u53d7\u5230\u5ec9\u4ef7\u623f\u4ea7\u548c\u5e9f\u5f03\u7a7a\u95f4\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5728\u65b0\u5343\u5e74\uff0c\u79df\u91d1\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u591c\u5e97\u4e1a\u4e3b\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u6210\u672c\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e0d\u518d\u6709\u6548\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u745e\u58eb\u624b\u8868\u51fa\u53e3\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u9999\u6e2f\u6301\u7eed\u75b2\u8f6f\u3001\u8def\u5a01\u9169\u8f69\u96c6\u56e2\u65d7\u4e0b\u7684Sephora\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u88c1\u545810%\uff08\u7ea64000\u4eba\u7684\u5458\u5de5\u603b\u6570\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6b27\u6d32\u65c5\u6e38\u4e1a\u7684\u653e\u7f13\u5747\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u82f1\u56fd\u4eba\u9700\u8981\u5076\u5c14\u653e\u7a7a\u4e00\u4e0b\u81ea\u5df1\u201d\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5bf9\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u653e\u677e\u6001\u5ea6\u7684\u8868\u8fbe\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u5c42\u9762\u4e0a\uff0c Adrian Woodridge \u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u770b\u5f85\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u89c6\u89d2\uff0c\u5e76\u5f15\u7528\u4e86\u5b89\u59ae\u00b7\u5361\u68ee\u7684\u4e00\u53e5\u8bdd\uff0c\u201c\u65b0\u7684\u65f6\u4ee3\u6765\u4e34\u201d\u2014\u2014Andreas Kluth\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u63ed\u793a\u4e86\u5a92\u4f53\u5de8\u5934\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7\u00b7\u5e03\u62c9\u5fb7\u798f\u5fb7\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u9996\u76f8\u67ef\u5c14\u661f\uff08Keir Starmer\uff09\u624d\u827a\u7684\u6279\u5224\u3002<\/p>\n

Chris Hughes \u5f15\u7528\u4e86\u65b0\u95fb\u754c\u89c2\u70b9\u201c\u58a8\u591a\u514b\u4ecd\u7136\u7ad9\u5728\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u4e00\u8fb9\u201d\uff0c\u4ee5\u53caMihir Sharma \u5206\u6790\u5370\u5ea6\u5728\u653f\u6cbb\u9886\u57df\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u5173\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u8bae\u9898\u4e0d\u540c\u53cd\u5e94\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff0cKarishma Vaswani \u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u6df1\u5165\u63a2\u8ba8\uff0c\u5e76\u63d0\u51fa\u56db\u56fd\u673a\u5236\uff08Quad\uff09\u7684\u6c89\u9ed8\u662f\u5426\u8fc7\u65e9\u6210\u4e3a\u7591\u95ee\u3002<\/p>\n

Merryn Somerset Webb\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u524d\u666f\u6301\u6000\u7591\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u5e76\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u201c\u7e41\u8363\u8fc7\u65f6\u201d\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u5728\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u8fd8\u52a0\u5165\u4e86Daniel Moss\u7684\u4e00\u6bb5\u5173\u4e8e\u65f6\u5c1a\u4e0e\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6700\u540e\uff0cYikes! Trump and Harris\u7231\u7740\u7684\u662f……\u8fd9\u4e00\u6807\u9898\u4e0b\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6307\u7279\u6717\u666e\u548c\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u5bf9\u67d0\u79cd\u4e8b\u7269\u7684\u559c\u7231\uff0c\u5177\u4f53\u672a\u8be6\u7ec6\u9610\u8ff0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f26\u6566\u7684 Walbrook \u6cb3\u662f\u57ce\u5e02\u5386\u53f2\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u81ea15\u81f316\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ee5\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u4f5c\u4e3a\u91cd\u8981\u6c34\u6e90\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u6cb3\u5e95\u9690\u85cf\u7740\u6570\u767e\u5177\u5934\u9aa8\uff0c\u5386\u53f2\u5b66\u5bb6\u63a8\u6d4b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5934\u9aa8\u6216\u53ef\u8ffd\u6eaf\u5230\u7f57\u9a6c\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u82f1\u56fd\u7edf\u6cbb\u8005\u5bf9\u53db\u4e71\u8005\u7684\u6267\u884c\u540e\u7559\u4e0b\u7684\u9057\u9ab8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f26\u6566\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5177\u6709\u6df1\u539a\u5386\u53f2\u4e0e\u60c5\u611f\u6c89\u6dc0\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u4e0e\u6cf0\u6664\u58eb\u6cb3\u7d27\u5bc6\u76f8\u8fde\u3002\u57289\u670822\u65e5\uff08\u4e5f\u6b63\u503c\u4e16\u754c\u6cb3\u6d41\u65e5\uff09\uff0c\u4f26\u6566\u4e3e\u529e\u4e86\u5e86\u795d\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4f18\u79c0\u7684\u7167\u7247\u6cbf\u6cb3\u4e24\u5cb8\uff0c\u8ba9\u4eba\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u75d5\u8ff9\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u8eab\u5904\u6b64\u5730\uff0c\u8bf7\u4e0d\u59a8\u6f2b\u6b65\u6cb3\u8fb9\uff0c\u611f\u53d7\u8fd9\u4efd\u5386\u53f2\u7684\u5e95\u8574\u3002 <\/p>\n

\n

\u65b0\u95fb\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<\/b>www.bloomberg.com
\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b>Shigeru Ishiba, Japan's Next Prime Minister, Might Make the US and China Unhappy<\/a>
\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2024-09-27
\u539f\u6587\u6458\u8981\uff1a<\/b><\/font><\/p>\n

  This is Bloomberg Opinion Today, a riveting reification of Bloomberg Opinion\u2019s opinions.     .Japan\u2019s ruling Liberal Democratic Party might have gone other ways in picking its new president, who will almost automatically become the country\u2019s next prime minister. It might have chosen its first woman leader \u2014 Sanae Takaichi. She would also have been a vote for continuity with the policies of the late Shinzo Abe, which are partly credited with getting Japan out of its lost decades of economic malaise. The LDP might also have skewed younger and picked the dashing Shinjiro Koizumi, the 43-year-old son of a previous equally dashing premier. Instead, the party picked Shigeru Ishiba, who has cast himself as the anti-Abe for years.  Gearoid Reidy: \u201c[W]hile Ishiba might be another Japanese man in his late 60s, he truly represents a different direction for the party. Ishiba is the LDP\u2019s consummate outsider, a dissident who has spent his career refusing to acquiesce to orthodoxy.\u201d For one, the new leader has favored a utilitarian diplomacy that, in effect, would be a softer Japanese line toward China. Gearoid writes: \u201cIshiba [is arguing] for \u2018win-win\u2019 diplomacy and seeming to advocate for a more neutral position between Beijing and Washington.\u201d That is unlikely to make the US happy. The Biden administration had been counting on Japan to carry much of the weight of an Asia-Pacific alliance to contain the Mainland. Ishiba\u2019s more accommodating policy may also not be a realistic response to a China where hostility toward Japan is constantly stoked by social media, a cyber problem that Catherine Thorbecke  about this week.But the economy may be what\u2019s most at stake with Ishiba\u2019s ascent. \u201cStubborn opposition to Abenomics is sometimes the only way to make sense of some of his contradictory policies,\u201d says Gearoid. \u201cThe rest of his plans are muddy.\u201d Meanwhile, the opposition may actually get its act together to confront the LDP, which has ruled Japan almost uninterruptedly since the end of World War II but has been losing much of its credibility with the public. Plummeting polls are what led outgoing prime minister Fumio Kishida to decide to step down, leading to the radical choice of Ishiba as his successor.Known to participate in cosplay, Ishiba once  from the manga series Dragon Ball, as Gearoid posted on X before his victory.  That character has the ability to destroy planets and galactic systems. Ishiba is going to need superpowers as prime minister, but maybe skip the costume.After hinting at it for weeks, Vladimir Putin set out a new set of rules to help Russia decide if it would use nuclear weapons. Making it official, Russia\u2019s president said, \u201cWe see the modern military and political situation is dynamically changing and we must take this into consideration. Including the emergence of new sources of military threats and risks for Russia and our allies.\u201d Marc Champion  his threat a couple of weeks ago when it was first bruited and concluded: \u201cwhile the risk of his launching a nuclear weapon exists, it remains distant.\u201d In , Marc says, \u201cThe latest change of doctrine should be seen as an attempt by the Kremlin to restore credibility to nuclear threats that have begun to lose their power. It does nothing to remove the enormous hurdles to actually following through with a nuclear attack.\u201d A nuclear strike, Marc wrote, \u201cwould bring Russia few if any benefits, but major downsides.\u201dIn his column this week, Hal Brands says Putin is  \u2014 but not in the nuclear way that would bring violent retribution from the US and the rest of its allies. Hal says to expect the \u201congoing campaign of sabotage and subversion targeting Europe\u201d to continue. It\u2019s a strategy where Putin\u2019s fingerprints will be almost untraceable. \u201cThe second type of escalation,\u201d he says, \u201cinvolves exacerbating geopolitical turmoil in other conflict zones, particularly the Red Sea.\u201d He adds: \u201cThe conflict in Ukraine is a , a high-stakes conflict that is drawing in rival countries and coalitions from around the world. The effects of wars with global implications rarely stay contained.\u201dAnd then there\u2019s what might happen on the ground in Ukraine itself. \u201cRussia is sending out other, more plausible, escalation warnings that have gotten less attention,\u201d says Marc. \u201cOne, perhaps ironically, came via Ukraine\u2019s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, when he said his intelligence services had discovered that Russia\u2019s military was planning to take Ukraine\u2019s remaining nuclear power plants offline by bombing them. This could happen.\u201d \u201cThe techno scene [in Berlin] owes its existence to an historical anomaly. When the Berlin Wall fell in 1989, there were heaps of abandoned spaces for clubbing to flourish and property was astonishingly cheap. Even in 2008, renting a two-bedroom penthouse just a short walk from [the techno temple] Berghain cost me \u20ac800 a month. \u2026 Since then, the German capital has become gentrified by more people like me, and for many club-owners, the math no longer adds up.\u201d \u2014 Chris Bryant in \u201c.\u201d\u201cThe hoped-for rebound in top end goods this year has yet to materialize. \u2026 Indeed, concerns are rising that the market has declined further amid a prolonged economic downturn and housing slump. Weak Swiss watch exports to China and Hong Kong; LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE\u2019s Sephora laying off 10% of its 4,000-strong workforce in China and sluggish tourism to Europe are all adding to the sense of gloom.\u201d \u2014 Andrea Felsted in \u201c.\u201d Everybody needs a  sometimes. \u2014 Adrian WoodridgeA new era in . \u2014 Andreas KluthMurdoch\u2019s still on the wrong side of . \u2014 Chris HughesIndia\u2019s . \u2014 Mihir SharmaWhy is the Quad silent on ? \u2014 Karishma VaswaniIs over before its time? \u2014 Merryn Somerset WebbHere\u2019s a touch of showbiz with your . \u2014 Daniel MossYikes! Trump and Harris love one thing: . \u2014 Lionel LaurentJust outside the Bloomberg building here in London is Walbrook, a street mainly used by pedestrians and cyclists. But underneath the passage runs a river by the same name that was once a major source of water for the city and a subterranean culvert since the 15th and 16th centuries. Beginning in the 19th century, construction workers have found the remains of hundreds of human skulls. Historians have speculated that they might date from as far back as the Roman period. One set of skulls showed the consequences of blunt force. Could they have been gladiators? There was an amphitheater not far away (in fact, at London\u2019s Guildhall, a five-minute walk from where I work). Or were these the heads of rebels executed by Britain\u2019s Roman masters?The sheer number of the remains (apparently mostly the top of skulls) could simply be the accumulation of centuries of human habitation in London, washing down from cemeteries and burial grounds in the drainage area that leads into the Thames, which the Walbrook empties into. Cities like Kyoto may exude a kind of exotic antiquity, but London is far older than the ancient Japanese capital \u2014 by some seven centuries. And you can actually see skeletal remains right by the river. If you walk to Queenhithe, about 10 minutes from my workplace, you\u2019ll find what used to be a dock first built in the 9th century. Right where the Thames washes up is a pile of debris, driftwood, clam and oyster shells but also scapula and thigh bones. These are not human but evidence of the oxen and sheep slaughtered and served in the city, particularly during the Tudor era (and Henry VIII\u2019s huge feasts in his upriver palaces).The Thames by central London isn\u2019t as broad as the East River or the Hudson River are in New York City. But the British capital and its defining waterway have so many layers of history and emotion attached to each other. On Sept. 22, it was Thames Day here (coinciding with World Rivers Day) and the city marked it with a gorgeous set of prize-winning photographs along the water. Wander by if you\u2019re in the city and by the river. Adrian Wooldridge  UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer\u2019s talent for gaffes at his Labour Party conference. I\u2019m still processing it...Notes: Please send dressing and feedback to Howard Chua-Eoan at . and follow us on , ,  and .<\/pre>\n
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