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\u65b0\u95fb\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<\/b>www.bloomberg.com
\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b>Japan\u2019s Next PM Faces Challenge of New US President and Tension With China<\/a>
\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2024-09-26
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Among the challenges awaiting Japan\u2019s next prime minister, few will be as weighty as managing relations with its sole treaty ally the US and navigating fraying ties with China, the biggest trading partner for Tokyo.The ruling Liberal Democratic Party will elect a new leader Friday who is set to become the next premier. During initial stages of the election campaign, foreign policy issues mostly took a back seat. That changed last week after the fatal stabbing  of a Japanese schoolboy in China, an incident that prompted all the candidates to make calls for a full investigation and demand steps to protect Japanese citizens.Tensions had already been high in  between Japanese and Chinese diplomats after a Chinese military aircraft made an  into Japanese airspace for the first time last month. Japan countered by sailing one of its warships through the Taiwan Strait for the first time earlier this week, Kyodo News  Thursday, in a move likely to anger China.The LDP\u2019s dominance in parliament makes it all but certain the winner of its leadership race will be elected the nation\u2019s next prime minister on Oct. 1. The nine candidates have all indicated they would continue to align with the US to counter China\u2019s growing assertiveness, as well as threats from North Korea and Russia. \u201cI wouldn\u2019t expect any great changes because the main objective of any Japanese government remains consolidation of the alliance with the US, and expansion of \u2014 and strengthening \u2014 ties to other security partners in the face of doubts about the credibility of the US and an increasingly hostile external environment,\u201d said , a senior adviser at Pacific Forum, a think-tank based in Hawaii.Confidence in the US has been shaken by recent moves seen as inward looking. These include  by US President , a Democrat, and from leading Republicans to a proposed deal by  to buy United States Steel Corp.However, none of the candidates has advocated major change in Japan\u2019s relationship with the US, and most want to continue deepening ties to other leading democracies including South Korea and Australia.That doesn\u2019t mean it will be smooth sailing. It still remains unknown how Democratic nominee Vice President  would approach Japan if she wins the November presidential election. During his campaign for the election, Trump has  criticism of trade imbalances with Japan. When he previously held the office, Trump  that Tokyo pay more to host US troops.Japan may have its own requests. , a frontrunner in the LDP election, has said he would like a review of the agreement that allows US troops to be based in Japan to make it fairer. He hasn\u2019t provided specifics. Some of the candidates want Japan to be allowed to join the intelligence-sharing group of nations known as the Five Eyes, comprising the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and the UK.One of the foreign policy achievements of outgoing Prime Minister  has been to foster a closer relationship with South Korea and increase trilateral cooperation with the US in areas such as missile defense. That progress could be at risk if a new prime minister doesn\u2019t invest as much in fostering ties with Seoul.Friction may surface if the new premier visits the Yasukuni Shrine in Tokyo, a memorial for the nation\u2019s war dead that is regarded by South Korea and some other nations as a symbol of past militarism. , a staunch conservative who is among the election favorites, is a regular visitor to the shrine. She has said she would continue to go as prime minister.Any visit to Yasukuni \u2014 where 14 Class-A war criminals are honored alongside other war dead \u2014 might trigger tension with the US. A visit by former Prime Minister  to Yasukuni in December 2013 prompted a rare public expression of discord when then US Ambassador  expressed \u201cdisappointment\u201d over the visit. Abe then refrained from going to the shrine until he stood down as prime minister in 2020.Alternatively, some political analysts say a more overtly nationalist Japanese prime minister may be a better fit in coordination with the US over China, the country that both have said is their primary strategic threat. Japan\u2019s deep business ties to China sometimes make Tokyo  over fully aligning with the US, such as over restrictions on exports of semiconductor-related equipment.\u201cThere is a possibility that Trump would see policy agreement with Takaichi in terms of being tough on China,\u201d said , a research fellow at the Japan Institute of International Affairs, a Tokyo-based think tank. The  frontrunner in the LDP campaign is , who studied at Columbia University in New York and worked as a researcher at a Washington think tank. Koizumi, 43, once served as environment minister but his lack of experience compared with most of the other candidates could be a handicap in the election. \u201cOne of the concerns about Koizumi is his very limited track record in diplomacy,\u201d said , a professor at Tokyo University.During the campaign, Koizumi hasn\u2019t disputed his inexperience, but said his youth could be an asset, including in dealing with North Korean leader , a contemporary at 40. Koizumi\u2019s father is , a former prime minister who held a 2002 summit in Pyongyang with then-leader Kim Jong Il, after which North Korea released some of the Japanese citizens it abducted during the 1970s and 1980s. Since then, Japan has demanded the release of all the other surviving abductees.North Korea has said the issue is settled, with , the sister of the current leader, saying in March a summit can\u2019t be held because Tokyo has \u201c\u201d to take the first step toward better relations.<\/pre>\n
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