{"id":21966,"date":"2025-04-17T16:14:33","date_gmt":"2025-04-17T08:14:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=21966"},"modified":"2025-04-17T16:14:33","modified_gmt":"2025-04-17T08:14:33","slug":"%e3%80%90%e6%ad%a3%e9%9d%a2%e3%80%91bloomberg%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e7%85%a4%e7%82%ad%e7%94%a8%e9%87%8f%e4%b8%8b%e9%99%8d%ef%bc%8c%e5%ba%94%e5%af%b9%e8%b4%b8%e6%98%93%e6%8c%91%e6%88%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=21966","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u6b63\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u7164\u70ad\u7528\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5e94\u5bf9\u8d38\u6613\u6311\u6218"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>**\u4e2d\u56fd\u7164\u70ad\u6d88\u8017\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u84c4\u52bf\u5e94\u5bf9\u8d38\u6613\u6469\u64e6**<\/p>\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u88c5\u673a\u91cf\u521b\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7164\u70ad\u6d88\u8017\u91cf\u6b63\u5728\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u7535\u529b\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u589e\u957f\u4e5f\u4e3b\u8981\u7531\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u6ee1\u8db3\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53cb\u597d\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u80fd\u5426\u7ecf\u53d7\u4f4f\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u706b\u529b\u53d1\u7535\u5382\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u6e90\u3002\u4eca\u5e743\u6708\uff0c\u706b\u7535\u53d1\u7535\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d2.3%\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u4e0b\u964d4.7%\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u5374\u8d85\u51fa\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fbe\u52305.4%\u3002\u57282024\u5e74\u65b0\u589e\u98ce\u529b\u6da1\u8f6e\u673a\u548c\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u7535\u6c60\u677f\u6570\u91cf\u521b\u7eaa\u5f55\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u98ce\u80fd\u548c\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u53d1\u7535\u91cf\u5747\u6709\u6240\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u80fd\u6e90\u4e0e\u6e05\u6d01\u7a7a\u6c14\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3(CREA)\u9996\u5e2d\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u67f3\u529b\u8868\u793a:\u201c3\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u52bf\u4f3c\u4e4e\u76f8\u5f53\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u706b\u529b\u53d1\u7535\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90\u8986\u76d6\u6240\u6709\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u957f\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u4ecd\u5728\u7ee7\u7eed\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6c61\u67d3\u56fd\uff0c\u7164\u70ad\u53d1\u7535\u7684\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u662f\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90\u5e94\u7528\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u80fd\u591f\u8fdc\u65e9\u4e8e2030\u5e74\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u5b9e\u73b0\u78b3\u8fbe\u5cf0\u3002\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u5317\u4eac\u51c6\u5907\u5e94\u5bf9\u53ef\u80fd\u963b\u788d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u653f\u5e9c\u91cd\u5927\u653f\u7b56\u56de\u5e94\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u6392\u653e\u8f68\u8ff9\u8fdc\u672a\u786e\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7164\u70ad\u7528\u91cf\u7684\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u6e29\u548c\u7684\u51ac\u5b63\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u4f9b\u6696\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u5e76\u4fdd\u6301\u4e86\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u71c3\u6599\u5e93\u5b58\u3002\u4f46\u7279\u91cc\u7ef4\u5c24\u59c6\u4e2d\u56fd(Trivium China)\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5e08Cosimo Ries\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u80fd\u6e90\u9700\u6c42\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u5373\u6446\u8131\u9ad8\u8017\u80fd\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Ries\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u201c\u4f9b\u5e94\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u8bb8\u591a\u5927\u578b\u884c\u4e1a\u4ea7\u80fd\u8fc7\u5269\u201d\u3002\u201c\u6216\u8bb8\u5bf9\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u7684\u7ea0\u6b63\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u662f\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u65b9\u9762\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u8feb\u6682\u505c\u8fd9\u79cd\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u5e76\u52a0\u5927\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u4ee5\u7f13\u89e3\u5bf9\u534e\u51fa\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u5f81\u6536\u9ad8\u5f97\u60ca\u4eba\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u6240\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u67f3\u529b\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u653f\u5e9c\u5b98\u5458\u663e\u7136\u6b63\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u63d0\u9ad8\u56fd\u5185\u6d88\u8d39\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u662f\u7528\u80fd\u6e90\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u8d44\u672c\u9879\u76ee\u6765\u5e94\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u538b\u529b\u3002\u201c\u6bcf\u5f53\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u9762\u4e34\u8d1f\u9762\u7ecf\u6d4e\u51b2\u51fb\u65f6\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u90fd\u662f\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5e94\u5bf9\u63aa\u65bd\u5bfc\u81f4\u6392\u653e\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f6d\u535a\u884c\u4e1a\u7814\u7a76(Bloomberg Intelligence)\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u6bd4\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u66f4\u4fbf\u5b9c\u3001\u66f4\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7ba1\u9053\u5929\u7136\u6c14\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u52a0\u5267\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u5bf9\u4e9a\u6d32\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u3002\u5728\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u52a0\u5267\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u5e45\u524a\u51cf\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u77f3\u6cb9\u7684\u8d2d\u4e70\u91cf(\u964d\u5e45\u7ea6\u4e3a90%)\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u6b63\u521b\u7eaa\u5f55\u5730\u8fdb\u53e3\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u539f\u6cb9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f6d\u535a\u7ecf\u6d4e(Bloomberg Economics)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u573a\u535a\u5f08\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5904\u4e8e\u4e0d\u5229\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\u7a0b\u5ea6\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u4f9d\u8d56\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u4e94\u500d\u3002\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u8fd8\u6709\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u5de5\u5177\u53ef\u4ee5\u5229\u7528\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f9d\u8d56\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff1a\u5173\u952e\u77ff\u4ea7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229(Morgan Stanley)\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u2022\u7279\u6717\u666e(Donald Trump)\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f81\u6536\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u5bb6\u5ead\u5bf9\u5c31\u4e1a\u3001\u6536\u5165\u589e\u957f\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u635f\u5931\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002 <\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u5206\u6790\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/b>gemma2<br \/><b>\u5f97\u5206\uff1a<\/b>10<br \/><b>\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre-wrap;font-size: inherit;\">\u6587\u7ae0\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u51cf\u5c11\u7164\u70ad\u6d88\u8017\u548c\u53d1\u5c55\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u97e7\u6027\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6587\u7ae0\u4e5f\u6697\u793a\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u63d0\u524d\u5b9e\u73b0\u78b3\u8fbe\u5cf0\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u4f5c\u8005\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u73af\u4fdd\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6b63\u9762\u6001\u5ea6\u3002<\/pre>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-04-17\/china-burns-less-coal-as-economy-braces-for-more-trade-turmoil\" target=\"_blank\">China Burns Less Coal as Economy Braces for More Trade Turmoil<\/a><br \/> <b>\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2025-04-17<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 20px 0;\"><div class=\"qrcswholewtapper\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><div class=\"qrcprowrapper\"  id=\"qrcwraa2leds\"><div class=\"qrc_canvass\" id=\"qrc_cuttenpages_2\" style=\"display:inline-block\" data-text=\"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=21966\"><\/div><div><a download=\"\u3010\u6b63\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u7164\u70ad\u7528\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5e94\u5bf9\u8d38\u6613\u6311\u6218.png\" class=\"qrcdownloads\" id=\"worign\">\r\n           <button type=\"button\" style=\"min-width:200px;background:#44d813;color:#000;font-weight: 600;border: 1px solid #44d813;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;padding: 6px 0;\" class=\"uqr_code_btn\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801<\/button>\r\n           <\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>**\u4e2d\u56fd\u7164\u70ad\u6d88\u8017\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u84c4\u52bf\u5e94\u5bf9\u8d38\u6613\u6469\u64e6** \u968f\u7740\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u88c5\u673a\u91cf\u521b\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7164\u70ad\u6d88\u8017\u91cf\u6b63\u5728\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u7535\u529b [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[79],"tags":[1054,11314,5057,8845,539],"class_list":["post-21966","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-79","tag-1054","tag-11314","tag-5057","tag-8845","tag-539"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21966","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=21966"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21966\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21967,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21966\/revisions\/21967"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=21966"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=21966"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=21966"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}