{"id":2054,"date":"2024-09-30T21:29:40","date_gmt":"2024-09-30T13:29:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=2054"},"modified":"2024-09-30T21:29:40","modified_gmt":"2024-09-30T13:29:40","slug":"%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e8%82%a1%e5%b8%82%e4%b8%8a%e6%b6%a8%ef%bc%8c%e6%88%bf%e8%b4%b7%e9%99%90%e5%88%b6%e5%8f%96%e6%b6%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=2054","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u623f\u8d37\u9650\u5236\u53d6\u6d88"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u65b0\u95fb\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<\/b>www.nytimes.com
\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b>China Stocks Surge After Mortgage Curbs Are Removed<\/a>
\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2024-09-30
\u539f\u6587\u6458\u8981\uff1a<\/b><\/font><\/p>\n

During China\u2019s decades-long housing boom, demand for apartments was so high that cities restricted who could buy homes and limited how many they could buy.\nNow, the country\u2019s largest cities are rolling back those rules as they face a different challenge: stubbornly low home prices.\nGuangzhou, a southern Chinese city of 19 million people, removed all restrictions on home buyers on Monday. It was the latest in a series of high-stakes economic stimulus efforts policymakers have announced in the past week.\nThe changes in Guangzhou are in line with other strategies that two dozen smaller Chinese cities have used in recent months. Officials are trying to reverse a grinding property downturn and broader slowdown in growth that has afflicted every corner of the Chinese economy, from the young graduates looking for jobs to the old being able to retire.\nTwo other major cities, Shenzhen and Shanghai, also relaxed their rules on Monday, without doing away with all home-buying limits. The news that one of China\u2019s biggest cities was trying something bold was an adrenaline shot for China\u2019s stock market, another casualty of China\u2019s economic woes.\nAn index of big Chinese companies traded in Shanghai or Shenzhen, the CSI 300, rose 8.5 percent after jumping nearly 16 percent last week. And the main gauge for Chinese property stocks in Hong Kong jumped by nearly 10 percent on Monday alone.\nSo much money exchanged hands in China\u2019s stock markets that the turnover in shares reached a record high, state media reported. On Chinese social media, people swapped stories about the frenzy in the stock market and asked whether it was time to jump in.\nChina\u2019s housing boom \u2014 the longest in modern history \u2014 began to turn in 2020 when the authorities, starting with the top leader, Xi Jinping, decided to abruptly bring property development to heel. Beijing signaled that no company was too big to fail and cut off funding for big firms, triggering a wave of collapses that has shaken the housing market and home buyers.\nBut after four years of falling home prices, China\u2019s top leaders, who have been criticized by economists for not responding forcefully, last week rolled out one measure after another to try to stimulate demand for homes. The central bank lowered the down payment requirement for mortgages to 15 percent, from 25 percent. It said it would allow home buyers to refinance their mortgages. It also cut mortgage rates.\nWhile home buyers must meet certain criteria to qualify for a mortgage in Guangzhou, limits that prevented unmarried buyers and families without local household registration were eliminated starting on Monday.\n\u201cAll purchase restrictions on residents\u2019 purchase of housing in the city will be canceled,\u201d the Guangzhou government said in a notice on Sunday, adding that it hoped the move would \u201cpromote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market.\u201d\nIn Shanghai and Shenzhen, local officials said more people could buy apartments in suburban neighborhoods and widened the category of people eligible to buy a home.\n\u201cIt\u2019s definitely a milestone,\u201d said Christopher Beddor, deputy China research director at Gavekal Dragonomics, of the move in Guangzhou. House prices there are down by more than 15 percent over last year.\n\u201cIt seems pretty clear that local government and ministerial officials have received the call for greater stimulus and are joining the bandwagon,\u201d he added.\nThe question now, experts said, is whether the moves are coming too late in the housing crunch to have a far-reaching effect.\nWhile the burst of new policy in the past week is notable, officials have announced similar moves in recent months. But those changes, like lessening restrictions for home buyers, have led to only short bursts of home buying rather than boost lasting confidence in the housing market.\n\u201cRemoving all restrictions on home purchases may seem like a big move,\u201d said Wang Tao, chief China economist at UBS, the Swiss bank. But, she added, \u201cthe impact on the market may be much smaller than it would have been had the removal occurred in early 2023.\u201d\nThat\u2019s because many Chinese people are still worried about whether the developer they pay today will be around tomorrow. While the government has pulled out the stops to try to get home buyers back into the market, they have done much less to help the companies that build the apartments.\nEarlier this year, the government tried to step in as a home buyer of last resort, providing tens of billions of dollars to buy up millions of empty and unwanted apartments. But the scale of the problem is vast: There are over 10 million other apartments not yet completed that were nonetheless sold by developers that went bankrupt or are close to bankruptcy.\n\u201cAllowing people to buy homes is not the same as incentivizing them to buy homes,\u201d said Ms. Wang. \u201cIn China\u2019s property market it\u2019s a distinction that matters.\u201d\n<\/pre>\n
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