{"id":19692,"date":"2025-04-03T16:21:42","date_gmt":"2025-04-03T08:21:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=19692"},"modified":"2025-04-03T16:21:42","modified_gmt":"2025-04-03T08:21:42","slug":"%e3%80%90%e8%b4%9f%e9%9d%a2%e3%80%91bloomberg%e7%be%8e%e5%85%b3%e7%a8%8e%e6%88%96%e5%8a%a0%e5%89%a7%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%86%b2%e5%87%bb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=19692","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u8d1f\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u7f8e\u5173\u7a0e\u6216\u52a0\u5267\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u51b2\u51fb"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>**\u6807\u9898\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u51b2\u51fb\u6216\u8d85\u9996\u6b21\u8d38\u6613\u6218**<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u4e0a\u8c03\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u53ef\u80fd\u8d85\u8fc7\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u82b1\u65d7\u96c6\u56e2\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u81ea\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u603b\u7edf\u4efb\u671f\u5f00\u59cb\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\u52a0\u5f81\u768454%\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u57282025\u5e74\u5c06\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff08GDP\uff09\u62c9\u4f4e2.4\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u8be5\u8bc4\u4f30\u5c1a\u672a\u8003\u8651\u4efb\u4f55\u62b5\u6d88\u63aa\u65bd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6cd5\u56fd\u5df4\u9ece\u94f6\u884c\u3001\u6cd5\u56fd\u5174\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\u3001\u534e\u4fa8\u94f6\u884c\u548c\u8377\u5170\u56fd\u9645\u96c6\u56e2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5173\u7a0e\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e2d\u56fdGDP\u4e0b\u964d1\u52302\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0a\u6708\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u96c4\u5fc3\u52c3\u52c3\u7684GDP\u589e\u957f\u76ee\u6807\u4e3a5%\u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u5728\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u5c06\u663e\u8457\u9ad8\u4e8e2018-19\u5e74\uff0c\u4e14\u66f4\u5177\u666e\u904d\u6027\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u76f4\u63a5\u51b2\u51fb\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u51fa\u53e3\u5916\uff0c\u95f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5bb9\u5ffd\u89c6\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u5176\u4ed6\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\u666e\u904d\u63d0\u9ad8\u5173\u7a0e\u5c06\u51cf\u7f13\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e25\u91cd\u653e\u7f13\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u63a8\u51fa\u66f4\u591a\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u91c7\u53d6\u589e\u52a0\u6570\u4e07\u4ebf\u5143\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u51fa\u6216\u5411\u94f6\u884c\u6ce8\u5165\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u3002\u591a\u4f4d\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5b98\u5458\u5df2\u591a\u6b21\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5df2\u51c6\u5907\u597d\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u62b5\u6d88\u5916\u90e8\u51b2\u51fb\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5468\u56db\u4e5f\u8c34\u8d23\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5e76\u627f\u8bfa\u5c06\u91c7\u53d6\u672a\u660e\u786e\u7684\u53cd\u5236\u63aa\u65bd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u745e\u7a57\u8bc1\u5238\u4e9a\u6d32\u9ad8\u7ea7\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u5982\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u518d\u53d1\u884c\u4e00\u5230\u4e24\u4e07\u4ebf\u5143\u7684\u7279\u522b\u56fd\u503a\u3002\u201d\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8ba1\u5212\u4eca\u5e74\u53d1\u884c1.3\u4e07\u4ebf\u5143\uff081790\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u7684\u8d85\u957f\u671f\u7279\u522b\u56fd\u503a\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u90e8\u5206\u6536\u76ca\u7528\u4e8e\u8865\u8d34\u6d88\u8d39\u54c1\u8d2d\u4e70\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8d38\u6613\u50f5\u5c40\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e8e2025\u5e74\u521d\u8d8b\u4e8e\u7a33\u5b9a\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u5bf9\u5176\u9020\u6210\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u8ff9\u8c61\u8868\u660e\u5173\u7a0e\u4e0a\u8c03\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u635f\u5bb3\u3002\u590d\u82cf\u52bf\u5934\u5df2\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5305\u62ec\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u548c\u82b1\u65d7\u96c6\u56e2\u5728\u5185\u7684\u81f3\u5c11\u4e03\u5bb6\u56fd\u9645\u94f6\u884c\uff0c\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u4e0a\u8c03\u4e86\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd2025\u5e74GDP\u589e\u957f\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u4f46\u5728\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u5ba3\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u6539\u5584\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u52a8\u6447\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u523a\u6fc0\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u589e\u957f\u76ee\u6807\u53ef\u80fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b9e\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u82b1\u65d7\u96c6\u56e2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u5728\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u5173\u7a0e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u53ef\u80fd\u4ece2025\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u5f00\u59cb\u663e\u73b0\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5728\u6211\u4eec4.7%\u7684GDP\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5b58\u572850-100\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u4e0b\u884c\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u8fd9\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u989d\u5916\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u5c06\u4e8e4\u6708\u5e95\u548c7\u6708\u53ec\u5f00\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u8ba8\u8bba\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4f1a\u8bae\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u63a8\u51fa\u91cd\u5927\u653f\u7b56\u8c03\u6574\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u7a97\u53e3\u3002\u5176\u4ed6\u523a\u6fc0\u6e20\u9053\u5305\u62ec\u964d\u4f4e\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u5b58\u6b3e\u51c6\u5907\u91d1\u7387\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u91ca\u653e\u5b83\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u8d37\u6b3e\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u3002\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u6b64\u524d\u5df2\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6b64\u4e3e\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u94f6\u884c\u5bf9\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u5173\u7a0e\u4e0a\u8c03\u7684\u56de\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f6d\u535a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u672c\u6708\u5c06\u4e0b\u8c0325\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u5b58\u6b3e\u51c6\u5907\u91d1\u7387\uff08RRR\uff09\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u57285\u6708\u4efd\u5c067\u5929\u9006\u56de\u8d2d\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u8c0310\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002\u5b83\u9884\u6d4b\u4eca\u5e74\u7d2f\u8ba1\u4e0b\u8c03100\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u5b58\u6b3e\u51c6\u5907\u91d1\u7387\u548c30\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u5229\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6cd5\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u4fe1\u8d37\u94f6\u884c\u9999\u6e2f\u5206\u884c\u9996\u5e2d\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u9274\u4e8e\u6ce8\u5165\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u548c\u652f\u6301\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u7684\u9700\u8981\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a4\u6708\u4efd\u4e0b\u8c03\u5b58\u6b3e\u51c6\u5907\u91d1\u7387\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u6b63\u5728\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e00\u7ebf\u5e0c\u671b\u662f\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u5176\u4ed6\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\u4e5f\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u9ad8\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u8d8a\u5357\u7b49\u4e00\u4e9b\u8d38\u6613\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u5dee\u8ddd\u7f29\u5c0f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7f13\u548c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u7528\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\u4ea7\u54c1\u66ff\u4ee3\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u6210\u672c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5173\u7a0e\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6700\u7ec8\u5f71\u54cd\u4ecd\u7136\u96be\u4ee5\u91cf\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u534e\u4fa8\u94f6\u884c\u4e9a\u6d32\u5b8f\u89c2\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u7ba1\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u4e0e\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u4efb\u671f\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u8fd9\u6b21\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u66f4\u4e3a\u5fae\u5999\u3002\u6700\u7ec8\uff0c\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6210\u672c\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u591a\u5730\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u66ff\u4ee3\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u540d\u4e49\u5173\u7a0e\u7387\u672c\u8eab\u3002\u201d <\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u5206\u6790\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/b>gemma2<br \/><b>\u5f97\u5206\uff1a<\/b>-40<br \/><b>\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre-wrap;font-size: inherit;\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e3b\u8981\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5305\u62ecGDP\u4e0b\u964d\u3001\u51fa\u53e3\u53d7\u963b\u7b49\u3002\u867d\u7136\u63d0\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u91c7\u53d6\u7684\u5e94\u5bf9\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4f46\u6574\u4f53\u57fa\u8c03\u504f\u5411\u8d1f\u9762\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9762\u4e34\u6311\u6218\u3002<\/pre>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-04-03\/us-tariffs-seen-as-far-worse-shock-to-china-than-first-trade-war\" target=\"_blank\">US Tariffs Seen as Far Worse Shock to China Than First Trade War<\/a><br \/> <b>\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2025-04-03<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 20px 0;\"><div class=\"qrcswholewtapper\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><div class=\"qrcprowrapper\"  id=\"qrcwraa2leds\"><div class=\"qrc_canvass\" id=\"qrc_cuttenpages_2\" style=\"display:inline-block\" data-text=\"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=19692\"><\/div><div><a download=\"\u3010\u8d1f\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u7f8e\u5173\u7a0e\u6216\u52a0\u5267\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u51b2\u51fb.png\" class=\"qrcdownloads\" id=\"worign\">\r\n           <button type=\"button\" style=\"min-width:200px;background:#44d813;color:#000;font-weight: 600;border: 1px solid #44d813;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;padding: 6px 0;\" class=\"uqr_code_btn\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801<\/button>\r\n           <\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>**\u6807\u9898\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u51b2\u51fb\u6216\u8d85\u9996\u6b21\u8d38\u6613\u6218** \u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u4e0a\u8c03\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u53ef\u80fd\u8d85\u8fc7\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u3002 \u82b1\u65d7 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[79],"tags":[5597,566,2531,3994,3350],"class_list":["post-19692","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-79","tag-gdp","tag-566","tag-2531","tag-3994","tag-3350"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19692","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=19692"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19692\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19693,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19692\/revisions\/19693"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=19692"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=19692"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=19692"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}