{"id":18968,"date":"2025-03-27T01:19:48","date_gmt":"2025-03-26T17:19:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=18968"},"modified":"2025-03-27T01:19:48","modified_gmt":"2025-03-26T17:19:48","slug":"%e3%80%90%e8%b4%9f%e9%9d%a2%e3%80%91cbsnews%e7%be%8e%e6%b6%88%e8%b4%b9%e8%80%85%e4%bf%a1%e5%bf%83%e8%b7%8c%e8%87%b312%e5%b9%b4%e6%96%b0%e4%bd%8e","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=18968","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u8d1f\u9762\u3011[cbsnews]\u7f8e\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u8dcc\u81f312\u5e74\u65b0\u4f4e"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>**\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u8dcc\u81f312\u5e74\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u582a\u5fe7**<\/p>\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u5bf9\u5173\u7a0e\u548c\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6307\u6807\u8dcc\u81f312\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u5bf9\u5176\u8d22\u52a1\u524d\u666f\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u611f\u5230\u7126\u8651\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u578b\u4f01\u4e1a\u8054\u5408\u4f1a\uff08The Conference Board\uff09\u5468\u4e8c\u8868\u793a\uff0c3\u6708\u4efd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\u4e0b\u8dcc7.2\u70b9\u81f392.9\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u56db\u4e2a\u6708\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4e3a2021\u5e741\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002FactSet\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u8bfb\u6570\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u9884\u671f\u768494.5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\u8861\u91cf\u7684\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u516d\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u5c55\u671b\u3002\u8be5\u5546\u4e1a\u56e2\u4f53\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u5bf9\u6536\u5165\u3001\u5546\u4e1a\u548c\u5c31\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u77ed\u671f\u9884\u671f\u7684\u8861\u91cf\u6307\u6807\u4e0b\u964d9.6\u70b9\u81f365.2\u3002\u8fd9\u662f12\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u8bfb\u6570\uff0c\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u578b\u4f01\u4e1a\u8054\u5408\u4f1a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u53ef\u80fd\u9884\u793a\u7740\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u768480\u7684\u95e8\u69db\u3002\u8be5\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u4e5d\u4e2a\u6708\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>eToro\u7f8e\u56fd\u6295\u8d44\u5206\u6790\u5e08Bret Kenwell\u5728\u4e00\u5c01\u7535\u5b50\u90ae\u4ef6\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u8fd1\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u6765\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u62c5\u5fc3\u96f6\u552e\u989d\u548c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u652f\u51fa\uff08\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5f15\u64ce\uff09\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u201d \u201c\u5982\u679c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u6709\u7406\u7531\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7ea6\u5360\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u652f\u51fa\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u4e34\u538b\u529b\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>**\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u201c\u57fa\u672c\u6d88\u5931\u201d**<\/p>\n<p>\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u578b\u4f01\u4e1a\u8054\u5408\u4f1a\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Stephanie Guichard\u5728\u4e00\u4efd\u58f0\u660e\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u6536\u5165\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u4e2d\u4e00\u76f4\u4fdd\u6301\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u4f46\u73b0\u5728\u5df2\u57fa\u672c\u6d88\u5931\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u5df2\u5f00\u59cb\u8513\u5ef6\u5230\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u5bf9\u5176\u4e2a\u4eba\u60c5\u51b5\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e2d\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>High Frequency Economics\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Carl Weinburg\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4e0e\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u7ed3\u679c\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u8868\u660e\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u611f\u5230\u4e0d\u5b89\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u6307\u7684\u662f\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u8be5\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u672c\u6708\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u5df2\u964d\u81f3\u4e24\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u70b9\u3002\u201c\u4ed6\u4eec\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5904\u5883\u8fd8\u4e0d\u9519\uff0c\u4f46\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u4eba\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u611f\u5230\u4e0d\u4e50\u89c2\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6de1\u5316\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u4e2d\u65e5\u76ca\u6076\u5316\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u79f0\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u53cd\u6620\u5b9e\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u8bba\u70b9\u4e0e\u524d\u603b\u7edf\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u5b98\u5458\u5728\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u524a\u5f31\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u4f46\u4e0d\u635f\u5bb3\u589e\u957f\u65f6\u6240\u8bf4\u7684\u8bdd\u7c7b\u4f3c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u767d\u5bab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u987e\u95ee\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2dStephen Miran\u5468\u4e8c\u5bf9CNBC\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u53ea\u662f\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6570\u636e\u4e0e\u5b9e\u9645\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u652f\u51fa\u4e4b\u95f4\u6ca1\u6709\u975e\u5e38\u5f3a\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u3002\u201d \u201c\u4f60\u8d70\u5230\u8857\u4e0a\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u90fd\u5728\u8fc7\u7740\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\uff0c\u4f60\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6b63\u5728\u9886\u53d6\u5de5\u8d44\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6b63\u5728\u6d88\u8d39\u5de5\u8d44\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b63\u5728\u5411\u524d\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>**\u6c83\u5c14\u739b\u7b49\u516c\u53f8\u4e0b\u8c03\u5229\u6da6\u9884\u671f**<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u884c\u4e3a\u8f6c\u53d8\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u5927\u7684\u96f6\u552e\u5546\u5374\u8bb2\u8ff0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u3002\u6c83\u5c14\u739b\u901a\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u8bd5\u56fe\u901a\u8fc7\u5bfb\u6c42\u5ec9\u4ef7\u5546\u54c1\u6765\u62b5\u6d88\u66f4\u9ad8\u4ef7\u683c\u800c\u84ec\u52c3\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u672b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bb6\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u5927\u7684\u96f6\u552e\u5546\u4e0b\u8c03\u4e86\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u5229\u6da6\u9884\u671f\u3002\u5176\u9500\u552e\u524d\u666f\u4e5f\u8f83\u4e3a\u4fdd\u5b88\uff0c\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u672a\u5728\u51762025\u5e74\u9884\u671f\u4e2d\u7eb3\u5165\u5173\u7a0e\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5854\u5409\u7279(Target)\u5728\u5173\u952e\u7684\u5047\u65e5\u5b63\u5ea6\u9500\u552e\u989d\u548c\u5229\u6da6\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\uff0c\u5176\u5229\u6da6\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u201c\u6709\u610f\u4e49\u7684\u538b\u529b\u201d\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u3001\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6885\u897f\u767e\u8d27\u3001\u767e\u601d\u4e70\u3001Abercrombie &#038; Fitch\u3001Dollar General\u7b49\u516c\u53f8\u4e5f\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u8c28\u614e\u5730\u770b\u5f85\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf92025\u5e74\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u516c\u53f8\u90fd\u63d0\u5230\u4e86\u201c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>**\u623f\u5c4b\u548c\u6c7d\u8f66\u9500\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d**<\/p>\n<p>\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u578b\u4f01\u4e1a\u8054\u5408\u4f1a\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5bf9\u623f\u5c4b\u548c\u6c7d\u8f66\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u5df2\u7ecf\u51cf\u5f31\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u53d7\u8bbf\u8005\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u7684\u7126\u8651\uff0c\u4ee4\u4eba\u6709\u4e9b\u60ca\u8bb6\u7684\u662f\uff0c3\u6708\u4efd\u8d2d\u4e70\u7535\u5668\u7b49\u5927\u4ef6\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u610f\u613f\u6709\u6240\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u4eba\u4eec\u5e0c\u671b\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u751f\u6548\u5bfc\u81f4\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e4b\u524d\u8d2d\u4e70\u5546\u54c1\u3002\u867d\u7136\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u5df2\u4ece\u75ab\u60c5\u540e\u53cd\u5f39\u671f\u95f4\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a82%\u7684\u5e74\u5ea6\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u540c\u6837\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\u8981\u6ce8\u610f\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u6ca1\u6709\u8fbe\u5230\u6211\u4eec\u57282022\u5e74\u590f\u5b63\u770b\u5230\u76849%\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u4f46\u4ef7\u683c\u4ecd\u5728\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u901f\u5ea6\u8f83\u6162\u3002\u81ea\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u5371\u673a\u5f00\u59cb\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u5df2\u7ecf\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u8d85\u8fc720%\u7684\u7d2f\u8ba1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u6536\u5165\u3002<\/p>\n<p>eToro\u7684Kenwell\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u5728\u5173\u7a0e\u548c\u5b8f\u89c2\u65b9\u9762\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u548c\u4fe1\u5fc3\u4ecd\u7136\u8106\u5f31\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5bf9\u5e74\u5e95\u5047\u671f\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u6709\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6177\u6168\u6d88\u8d39\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u540e\uff0c\u53731\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u989d\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5bd2\u51b7\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u5206\u62c5\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u8d23\u4efb\u3002Comerica Bank\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Bill Adams\u5728\u4e00\u4efd\u7814\u7a76\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u88ab\u6709\u5173\u66f4\u9ad8\u5173\u7a0e\u548c\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u3001\u88c1\u5458\u548c\u80a1\u5e02\u629b\u552e\u7684\u5934\u6761\u65b0\u95fb\u5413\u574f\u4e86\u3002\u201d \u201c\u5f53\u4eba\u4eec\u62c5\u5fc3\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4f1a\u524a\u51cf\u5728\u5ea6\u5047\u548c\u5916\u51fa\u7b49\u53ef\u81ea\u7531\u652f\u914d\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u5e76\u63a8\u8fdf\u8d2d\u4e70\u65b0\u623f\u3001\u6c7d\u8f66\u6216\u7535\u5668\u7b49\u5927\u4ef6\u5546\u54c1\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4e9a\u5f53\u65af\u9884\u8ba1\u8fd1\u671f\u53ef\u81ea\u7531\u652f\u914d\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u652f\u51fa\u5c06\u4f1a\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u52302026\u5e74\uff0c\u5173\u7a0e\u8c08\u5224\u88ab\u51cf\u7a0e\u6240\u53d6\u4ee3\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6709\u6240\u7a81\u7834\u3002\u201c\u5982\u679c\u516c\u4f17\u5bf9\u8bdd\u4ece\u524a\u51cf\u5f00\u652f\u8f6c\u5411\u51cf\u7a0e\u7684\u5feb\u4e50\u8c08\u8bdd\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53cd\u5f39\u3002\u4f46\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u8868\u73b0\u4e0d\u59822023\u5e74\u548c2024\u5e74\u7684\u589e\u957f\u3002\u201d <\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u5206\u6790\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/b>gemma2<br \/><b>\u5f97\u5206\uff1a<\/b>-10<br \/><b>\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre-wrap;font-size: inherit;\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u63d0\u5230\u5173\u7a0e\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ea7\u751f\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u6ca1\u6709\u76f4\u63a5\u63d0\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u4f46\u5173\u7a0e\u95ee\u9898\u901a\u5e38\u4e0e\u56fd\u9645\u8d38\u6613\u6709\u5173\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u95f4\u63a5\u6d89\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u3002<\/pre>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/consumer-confidence-falls-tariffs-inflation-trump\/\" target=\"_blank\">Consumer confidence slumps to 12-year low as Americans fret over their financial prospects<\/a><br \/> <b>\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2025-03-25<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 20px 0;\"><div class=\"qrcswholewtapper\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><div class=\"qrcprowrapper\"  id=\"qrcwraa2leds\"><div 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[&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[79],"tags":[93,1527,1684,3049,8516],"class_list":["post-18968","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-79","tag-93","tag-1527","tag-1684","tag-3049","tag-8516"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18968","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=18968"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18968\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18969,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18968\/revisions\/18969"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=18968"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=18968"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=18968"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}