{"id":18120,"date":"2025-03-17T22:22:08","date_gmt":"2025-03-17T14:22:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=18120"},"modified":"2025-03-17T22:22:08","modified_gmt":"2025-03-17T14:22:08","slug":"%e3%80%90%e6%ad%a3%e9%9d%a2%e3%80%91bloomberg%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%b4%9b%e8%b5%b7%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e4%bc%98%e5%8a%bf%e8%a1%b0%e9%80%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=18120","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u6b63\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5d1b\u8d77\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f18\u52bf\u8870\u9000"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>**\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff1a\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u201c\u5e95\u7ebf\u201d\u652f\u6491\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f8b\u5916\u8bba\u52a8\u6447**<\/p>\n<p>\u6089\u5c3c\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u6211\u662f\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f01\u4e1a\u7f16\u8f91\u3002\u4eca\u5929\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u65ad\u6539\u5584\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u8def\u5f84\u65e5\u76ca\u589e\u957f\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5f62\u6210\u5bf9\u6bd4\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u901a\u8fc7\u7535\u5b50\u90ae\u4ef6\u6216X\u5e73\u53f0\u5411\u6211\u4eec\u53d1\u9001\u53cd\u9988\u548c\u5efa\u8bae\u3002\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u5c1a\u672a\u8ba2\u9605\u6b64\u65b0\u95fb\u901a\u8baf\uff0c\u8bf7\u7acb\u5373\u8ba2\u9605\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5e95\u7ebf\u201d\u6b63\u5728\u52a8\u6447\uff0c\u800c\u201c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5e95\u7ebf\u201d\u6b63\u84c4\u52bf\u5f85\u53d1\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u5404\u81ea\u524d\u666f\u7684\u5b9a\u4ef7\u662f\u6b63\u786e\u7684\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u8bc1\u660e\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e24\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u547d\u8fd0\u7684\u620f\u5267\u6027\u9006\u8f6c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9ad8\u76db\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u4e24\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u8f6c\u53d8\uff1a\u7b56\u7565\u5e08Dominic Wilson\u548cKamakshya Trivedi\u5199\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u603b\u800c\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u8f6c\u53d8\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f8b\u5916\u8bba\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\u6784\u6210\u4e86\u91cd\u5927\u6311\u6218\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u8fd9\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\u4e0d\u4e45\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c2024\u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u6539\u5584\u6001\u52bf\u5ef6\u7eed\u5230\u4e86\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\u30021\u6708\u548c2\u6708\u7684\u96f6\u552e\u989d\u548c\u5de5\u4e1a\u4ea7\u503c\u5747\u8d85\u51fa\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6fb3\u65b0\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e0a\u8c03\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf92025\u5e74GDP\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u63d0\u9ad8\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\u662f\u5e94\u5bf9\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5173\u7a0e\u53ca\u5176\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u6f5c\u5728\u62d6\u7d2f\u7684\u5173\u952e\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u57282024\u5e74\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6269\u5f20\u8d21\u732e\u4e86\u8fd1\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u4e3a\u6b64\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u4e00\u9879\u65e8\u5728\u91cd\u632f\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u56fd\u52a1\u9662\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u7684\u6307\u5bfc\u65b9\u9488\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u7a33\u5b9a\u80a1\u7968\u548c\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5e76\u63d0\u4f9b\u6fc0\u52b1\u63aa\u65bd\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u6700\u9ad8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u89c4\u5212\u673a\u6784\u7684\u4e00\u4f4d\u526f\u4e3b\u4efb\u5728\u5468\u4e00\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u523a\u6fc0\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u5c06\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u63d0\u9ad8\u5bb6\u5ead\u6536\u5165\u548c\u589e\u5f3a\u5176\u6d88\u8d39\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4f46\u6ca1\u6709\u63d0\u4f9b\u5177\u4f53\u7ec6\u8282\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd1\u51e0\u5468\u6765\uff0c\u201c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5e95\u7ebf\u201d\u7684\u7406\u5ff5\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u53d7\u5230\u5173\u6ce8\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u4e3b\u5e2d\u53ca\u5176\u653f\u5e9c\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u66f4\u52a0\u4eb2\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u4eb2\u5546\u4e1a\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f\uff1a\u5305\u62ec\u9ad8\u901a\u7684Cristiano Amon\u548c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u7f8e\u7684Amin Nasser\u5728\u5185\u7684\u8de8\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5b98\u5c06\u524d\u5f80\u5317\u4eac\u53c2\u52a0\u5e74\u5ea6\u9ad8\u5c42\u7ba1\u7406\u4eba\u5458\u805a\u4f1a\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u5c06\u4e0e\u5305\u62ec\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5728\u5185\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4f1a\u9762\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u906d\u53d7\u91cd\u521b\uff0c\u6807\u51c6\u666e\u5c14500\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5468\u8fdb\u5165\u56de\u8c03\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u5bf9\u201c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5e95\u7ebf\u201d\u7684\u62bc\u6ce8\u5df2\u7ecf\u6d88\u9000\u3002\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u957fScott Bessent\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u5bf9\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u5e76\u4e0d\u62c5\u5fc3\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4ecd\u7136\u5173\u6ce8\u957f\u671f\u3002\u201c\u6211\u4ece\u4e8b\u6295\u8d44\u4e1a\u52a1\u5df2\u670935\u5e74\u4e86\uff0c\u6211\u53ef\u4ee5\u544a\u8bc9\u4f60\uff0c\u56de\u8c03\u662f\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u6b63\u5e38\u7684\uff0c\u201d Bessent\u5468\u65e5\u5728NBC\u7684\u201c\u4f1a\u89c1\u5a92\u4f53\u201d\u8282\u76ee\u4e2d\u8bf4\u3002\u201c\u6211\u4e0d\u62c5\u5fc3\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u4ece\u957f\u8fdc\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u5236\u5b9a\u826f\u597d\u7684\u7a0e\u6536\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u653e\u677e\u7ba1\u5236\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u5b89\u5168\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u4f1a\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u8272\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u4eca\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u8868\u73b0\u826f\u597d\u3002MSCI\u4e2d\u56fd\u6307\u6570\u57282025\u5e74\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e86\u7ea620\uff05\uff1b\u6807\u51c6\u666e\u5c14500\u6307\u6570\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e86\u7ea64\uff05\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u573a\u8d70\u52bf\u53ea\u662f\u8861\u91cf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\u4f17\u591a\u6307\u6807\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u548c\u5546\u4e1a\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4e0d\u80fd\u5b8c\u5168\u5ffd\u7565\u5b83\u4eec\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u8fd1\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u8d8b\u52bf\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u5404\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u4e00\u79cd\u7126\u8651\u7684\u89c2\u671b\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4ed6\u4eec\u9996\u6b21\u96c6\u4f53\u8bc4\u4f30\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u5168\u7403\u5bf9\u94a2\u94c1\u548c\u94dd\u5f81\u6536\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u76df\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u906d\u53d7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u6124\u6012\uff0c\u51e0\u5468\u524d\u5c1a\u672a\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u73b0\u5728\u5df2\u7ecf\u6210\u4e3a\u5bf9\u5546\u4e1a\u7684\u5168\u9762\u963b\u788d\u3002\u603b\u800c\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u8d1f\u8d23\u5168\u7403\u5341\u5927\u4ea4\u6613\u8d27\u5e01\u4e2d\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u5b98\u5458\u4ee5\u53ca\u5176\u4ed620\u56fd\u96c6\u56e2\u7684\u540c\u884c\uff0c\u90fd\u51c6\u5907\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5929\u5185\u8bbe\u5b9a\u5229\u7387\u3002\u6709\u5173\u672c\u5468\u5269\u4f59\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u8bf7\u53c2\u9605\u7ecf\u6d4e\u65e5\u7a0b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e9a\u6d32\u7b2c\u56db\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u97e9\u56fd\u7684\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u4f4e\u7684\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5176\u8d70\u4e0a\u4e86\u4e00\u6761\u53ef\u6015\u7684\u957f\u671f\u9053\u8def\uff0c\u97e9\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8868\u793a\u3002\u4f46\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u8ba9\u66f4\u591a\u73b0\u6709\u4eba\u53e3\u8fdb\u5165\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0cCapital Economics\u6307\u51fa\u3002\u201c\u8be5\u56fd\u5728\u8ba9\u66f4\u591a\u5987\u5973\u8fdb\u5165\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4ee5\u53ca\u8ba9\u5e74\u9f84\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u5de5\u4eba\u7ee7\u7eed\u5c31\u4e1a\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u91cd\u8981\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u201d\u8be5\u96c6\u56e2\u4e9a\u6d32\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Gareth Leather\u5199\u9053\u3002\u201c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d1\u5c55\u6b63\u5728\u5e2e\u52a9\u62b5\u6d88\u52b3\u52a8\u5e74\u9f84\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\u201d\uff0cCapital Economics\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u4f7f\u8d8b\u52bf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u4ece\u4eca\u5929\u76842.5\uff05\u5de6\u53f3\u964d\u81f32050\u5e74\u76841.5\uff05\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u97e9\u56fd\u7537\u6027\u5728\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u4e2d\u6240\u5360\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u6309\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u6807\u51c6\u8861\u91cf\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u9ad8\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u4f46\u5973\u6027\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u7387\u4ecd\u7136\u5f88\u4f4e\uff0c\u4e3a\u6539\u5584\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0cLeather\u5728\u5468\u4e94\u5199\u9053\u3002\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\u5973\u6027\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u7387\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u8fd9\u5e94\u8be5\u4f1a\u7f13\u89e3\u52b3\u52a8\u5e74\u9f84\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0b\u964d\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u62d6\u7d2f\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u559c\u6b22\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4eba\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u5417\uff1f\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u60a8\u53ef\u80fd\u559c\u6b22\u7684\u65f6\u4e8b\u901a\u8baf\u3002 <\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u5206\u6790\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/b>gemma2<br \/><b>\u5f97\u5206\uff1a<\/b>60<br \/><b>\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre-wrap;font-size: inherit;\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e3b\u8981\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u53d1\u5c55\u6001\u52bf\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4e3a\u523a\u6fc0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6240\u91c7\u53d6\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u5176\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6311\u6218\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff0c\u7a81\u51fa\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u97e7\u6027\u548c\u6f5c\u529b\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u524d\u666f\u6301\u4e50\u89c2\u6001\u5ea6\u3002<\/pre>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/newsletters\/2025-03-17\/china-economy-xi-put-underpins-growth-story-as-us-exceptionalism-falters\" target=\"_blank\">China Economy: Xi \u2018Put\u2019 Underpins Growth Story as US Exceptionalism\u00a0Falters<\/a><br \/> <b>\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2025-03-17<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 20px 0;\"><div class=\"qrcswholewtapper\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><div class=\"qrcprowrapper\"  id=\"qrcwraa2leds\"><div class=\"qrc_canvass\" id=\"qrc_cuttenpages_2\" style=\"display:inline-block\" data-text=\"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=18120\"><\/div><div><a download=\"\u3010\u6b63\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5d1b\u8d77\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f18\u52bf\u8870\u9000.png\" class=\"qrcdownloads\" id=\"worign\">\r\n           <button type=\"button\" style=\"min-width:200px;background:#44d813;color:#000;font-weight: 600;border: 1px solid #44d813;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;padding: 6px 0;\" class=\"uqr_code_btn\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801<\/button>\r\n           <\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>**\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff1a\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u201c\u5e95\u7ebf\u201d\u652f\u6491\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f8b\u5916\u8bba\u52a8\u6447** \u6089\u5c3c\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u6211\u662f\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f01\u4e1a\u7f16\u8f91\u3002\u4eca\u5929\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u4e2d\u56fd [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[79],"tags":[566,70,242,232,14509],"class_list":["post-18120","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-79","tag-566","tag-70","tag-242","tag-232","tag-14509"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18120","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=18120"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18120\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18121,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18120\/revisions\/18121"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=18120"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=18120"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=18120"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}