{"id":16500,"date":"2025-03-02T16:18:25","date_gmt":"2025-03-02T08:18:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=16500"},"modified":"2025-03-02T16:18:25","modified_gmt":"2025-03-02T08:18:25","slug":"%e3%80%90%e6%ad%a3%e9%9d%a2%e3%80%91bloomberg%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e8%82%a1%e5%b8%82%ef%bc%9a%e8%81%9a%e7%84%a6%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%e4%bc%9a%e8%ae%ae%e5%8f%8a%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%88%ba%e6%bf%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=16500","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u6b63\u9762\u3011[bloomberg]\u4e2d\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\uff1a\u805a\u7126\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u53ca\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>**\u4e2d\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\uff1a\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u5728\u5373\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u6307\u5357**<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6b63\u9762\u4e34\u5173\u952e\u7684\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u9ad8\u5c42\u5b98\u5458\u5c06\u9f50\u805a\u4e00\u5802\uff0c\u8ba8\u8bba\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u51fa\u53f0\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u4ee5\u7ef4\u6301\u4eca\u5e74\u8fc5\u731b\u6da8\u52bf\u7684\u671f\u671b\u751a\u9ad8\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u5317\u4eac\u5982\u4f55\u62b5\u6d88\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5a01\u80c1\u8981\u52a0\u5f81 10% \u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u5168\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u4ee3\u8868\u5927\u4f1a\u5c06\u5ba3\u5e03\u589e\u52a0\u8d22\u653f\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u632f\u56fd\u5185\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u5e76\u91c7\u53d6\u63aa\u65bd\u5316\u89e3\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u7ed3\u675f\u901a\u7f29\u87ba\u65cb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u523a\u6fc0\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u6b65\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u2014\u2014\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u770b\u5230\u50cf\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u521d\u521b\u516c\u53f8 DeepSeek 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\u89e6\u53d1\u4e86\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u4f30\u503c\u91cd\u4f30\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u5c16\u7aef\u6280\u672f\u7684\u652f\u6301\u529b\u5ea6\u5c06\u5907\u53d7\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u9ad8\u76db\u96c6\u56e2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u91c7\u53d6\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u201c\u63a8\u52a8\u4e0e\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u548c\u5e94\u7528\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u524d\u4e00\u5ea6\u5728\u76d1\u7ba1\u6253\u538b\u671f\u95f4\u4fdd\u6301\u4f4e\u8c03\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5546\u4e1a\u9886\u8896\u4e0e\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7684\u4f1a\u6664\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u52a0\u500d\u52aa\u529b\u5b9e\u73b0\u6280\u672f\u9738\u6743\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff0c\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u3001\u4f4e\u7a7a\u548c\u6570\u5b57\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9886\u57df\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u5173\u6ce8\u7126\u70b9\u3002\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u8d62\u5bb6\u5305\u62ec\u82af\u7247\u5236\u9020\u5546\uff0c\u5176\u5728\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u80a1\u4ef7\u4eca\u5e74\u5df2\u4e0a\u6da8\u7ea6 58%\u3002\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u516c\u53f8\u548c\u5728\u6b64\u671f\u95f4\u5206\u522b\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e86 60% \u4ee5\u4e0a\u548c 20% \u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u627f\u8bfa\u652f\u6301\u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8\u5c06\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4e24\u5bb6\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\u5de8\u5934\u548c\u53d7\u76ca\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u5728\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4f4e\u8ff7\u540e\u5df2\u7ecf\u5377\u571f\u91cd\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n<p>**\u6d88\u8d39\u9700\u6c42**<\/p>\n<p>\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u9274\u4e8e\u901a\u8d27\u7d27\u7f29\u548c\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u63d0\u632f\u6d88\u8d39\u5c06\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u4f18\u5148\u4e8b\u9879\u3002\u56fd\u52a1\u9662\u603b\u7406\u674e\u5f3a\u6700\u8fd1\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u628a\u6269\u5927\u6d88\u8d39\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5173\u952e\u9a71\u52a8\u529b\u3002\u9ad8\u76db\u9996\u5e2d\u4e2d\u56fd\u80a1\u7968\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u76f8\u5f53\u5bbd\u677e\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u6765\u5e2e\u52a9\u6253\u7834\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u7d27\u7f29\u87ba\u65cb\uff0c\u5e76\u5e2e\u52a9\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6ce8\u5165\u4e00\u4e9b\u9700\u6c42\u52a8\u529b\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8c08\u5230\u652f\u6301\u6d88\u8d39\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u7ec6\u8282\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u82b1\u65d7\u96c6\u56e2\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6269\u5927\u4ee5\u65e7\u6362\u65b0\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u8be5\u8ba1\u5212\u4f7f\u6d88\u8d39\u7535\u5b50\u4ea7\u54c1\u5236\u9020\u5546\u53d7\u76ca\uff0c\u5e76\u91c7\u53d6\u63aa\u65bd\u589e\u52a0\u57fa\u672c\u517b\u8001\u91d1\u798f\u5229\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728 2 \u6708 14 \u65e5\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6709\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u751f\u80b2\u8865\u8d34\u6216\u666e\u904d\u7684\u73b0\u91d1\u53d1\u653e\u3002\u523a\u6fc0\u56fd\u5185\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u6c7d\u8f66\u5236\u9020\u5546\u548c\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bb6\u7528\u7535\u5668\u5236\u9020\u5546\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u548c\u3002\u589e\u52a0\u652f\u6301\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8ba9\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u80a1\u5e02\u51fa\u73b0\u8865\u6da8\u884c\u60c5\uff0c\u800c\u6d88\u8d39\u9a71\u52a8\u578b\u80a1\u7968\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u80a1\u7968\u4e2d\u5360\u6709\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>**\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u4e0b\u6ed1**<\/p>\n<p>\u6709\u5173\u652f\u6301\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u7ec6\u8282\u5c06\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5c3d\u7ba1\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u4f01\u7a33\u8ff9\u8c61\uff0c\u4f46\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u4ecd\u7136\u75b2\u8f6f\u3002\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u80a1\u5df2\u4ece 10 \u6708\u4efd\u7684\u9ad8\u70b9\u4e0b\u8dcc 40%\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u8010\u5fc3\u6b63\u5728\u51cf\u9000\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u884c\u4e1a\u7ea6\u5360\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684 19%\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5bf9\u4ecd\u7136\u4f4e\u8ff7\u7684\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u963b\u6b62\u80a1\u5e02\u6da8\u52bf\u8513\u5ef6\u5230\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u4ee5\u5916\u3002\u745e\u94f6\u96c6\u56e2 (UBG Group AG) \u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u672c\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4fa7\u91cd\u4e8e\u63a8\u8fdb\u57ce\u4e2d\u6751\u6539\u9020\u3001\u652f\u6301\u4f4f\u623f\u9700\u6c42\u3001\u5408\u7406\u63a7\u5236\u65b0\u589e\u571f\u5730\u4f9b\u5e94\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5bfb\u6c42\u5728\u5e93\u5b58\u53bb\u5316\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u66f4\u5927\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u745e\u94f6\u9996\u5e2d\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u6bcf\u5e74\u5c06\u90e8\u7f72 8000 \u4ebf\u5143\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\uff081100 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u6216\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u4e13\u9879\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u7528\u4e8e\u53bb\u5e93\u5b58\uff0c\u5e76\u589e\u52a0\u5bf9\u5f00\u53d1\u5546\u878d\u8d44\u7684\u4fe1\u8d37\u652f\u6301\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u652f\u6301\u63aa\u65bd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8ba9\u5305\u62ec\u548c\u5728\u5185\u7684\u5927\u578b\u56fd\u6709\u4f01\u4e1a\u53d7\u76ca\u3002 <\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u5206\u6790\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/b>gemma2<br \/><b>\u5f97\u5206\uff1a<\/b>20<br \/><b>\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre-wrap;font-size: inherit;\">\u6587\u7ae0\u4e3b\u8981\u5173\u6ce8\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u80fd\u91c7\u53d6\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u523a\u6fc0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u589e\u52a0\u8d22\u653f\u652f\u51fa\u3001\u652f\u6301\u79d1\u6280\u521b\u65b0\u3001\u63d0\u632f\u6d88\u8d39\u548c\u7a33\u5b9a\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5e94\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6311\u6218\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u6301\u8c28\u614e\u4e50\u89c2\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u5e76\u5173\u6ce8\u8fd9\u4e9b\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/pre>\n<hr>\n<p><b>\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-03-02\/a-trader-s-guide-for-china-s-closely-watched-policy-meeting\" target=\"_blank\">China Stocks: A Trader\u2019s Guide for Closely Watched Policy Meeting<\/a><br \/> <b>\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2025-03-02<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 20px 0;\"><div class=\"qrcswholewtapper\" 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