{"id":1031,"date":"2024-09-22T04:28:07","date_gmt":"2024-09-21T20:28:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kafeizha.com\/?p=1031"},"modified":"2024-09-22T04:28:07","modified_gmt":"2024-09-21T20:28:07","slug":"%e6%9c%aa%e5%86%b3%e9%80%89%e6%b0%91%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e5%9c%a8%e6%83%b3%e4%bb%80%e4%b9%88-%e6%80%9d%e8%80%83%e4%b8%ad%e7%9a%84%e9%80%89%e6%b0%91","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.tomjun.com\/?p=1031","title":{"rendered":"\u672a\u51b3\u9009\u6c11\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u60f3\u4ec0\u4e48 | \u601d\u8003\u4e2d\u7684\u9009\u6c11"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u65b0\u95fb\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<\/b>www.nytimes.com
\u539f\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1a<\/b>Opinion | What Undecided Voters Might Be Thinking<\/a><\/font>
\u65b0\u95fb\u65e5\u671f\uff1a<\/b>2024-09-14<\/p>\n

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\u679c\u7136\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u4f1f\u5927\u7684populist\u9886\u5bfc\u8005\u6b63\u4e0e\u8fdc\u53f3\u6d3e\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u4eba\u7269\u52b3\u62c9\u00b7\u5362\u9ed8\u76f8\u5904\uff0c\u5979\u90a3\u660e\u663e\u7684\u504f\u89c1\u548c\u9634\u8c0b\u8bba\u5982\u6b64\u660e\u663e\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u8ba9\u5176\u4ed6\u8fdc\u53f3\u6d3e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4eba\u7126\u8651\u4e0d\u5b89\u3002\u4ed6\u76ee\u524d\u901a\u8fc7Facebook\u6d41\u8a00\u548c\u53cd\u6d77\u5730\u60c5\u7eea\u5728\u8bc9\u8bbc\u62dc\u767b-\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u7684\u79fb\u6c11\u8bb0\u5f55\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u6700\u806a\u660e\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\u57fa\u4e8e\u4ed6\u662f\u4e2a\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u8bf4\u8c0e\u5bb6\u8fd9\u4e00\u60f3\u6cd5\u2014\u2014\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5151\u73b0\u6240\u6709\u627f\u8bfa\u2014\u2014\u800c\u5fe0\u8bda\u4e8e\u4ed6\uff0c\u800c\u4ed6\u6700\u575a\u5b9a\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\u5219\u51c6\u5907\u597d\u4e3a\u4ed6\u7684\u8fc7\u5ea6\u3001\u8150\u8d25\u548c\u5baa\u6cd5\u4e0a\u7684\u5192\u9669\u8fa9\u89e3\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u539f\u6587\u6458\u8981\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n

Since the populist surge that gave us Brexit and the rise of Donald Trump, politics in the Western world has polarized into a distinctive stalemate \u2014 an inconclusive struggle between a credentialed elite that keeps failing at basic tasks of governing and a populist rebellion that\u2019s too chaotic and paranoid to be trusted with authority instead.The 2024 campaign in its waning days is a grim illustration of this deadlock. We just watched Kamala Harris, the avatar of the liberal establishment, smoothly out-debate Trump by goading him into expressing populism at its worst \u2014 grievance-obsessed, demagogic, nakedly unfit.But her smoothness was itself an evasion of the actual record of the administration in which she serves. Harris offered herself as the turn-the-page candidate while sidestepping almost every question about what the supposed adults in the room have wrought across the last four years.A historic surge in migration that happened without any kind of legislation or debate. A historic surge in inflation that was caused by the pandemic, but almost certainly goosed by Biden administration deficits. A mismanaged withdrawal from Afghanistan. A stalemated proxy war in Eastern Europe with a looming threat of escalation. An elite lurch into woke radicalism that had real-world as well as ivory-tower consequences, in the form of bad progressive policymaking on crime and drugs and schools.All of this and more the Harris campaign hopes that voters forgive or just forget, while it claims the mantle of change and insists that \u201cwe\u2019re not going back.\u201dUndecided voters in a polarized America generate a lot of exasperated criticism from both sides of the partisan divide. And no doubt it will exasperate many readers when I suggest that the choices presented in this election make indecision entirely understandable.But they really do. The \u201cask\u201d of the Democratic Party in 2024 is not, as some anti-Trump writers would have it, to merely compromise one\u2019s convictions on this issue or that issue, to accept a few policies you dislike in order to keep an indecent and unstable populist out of office.Rather, the \u201cask\u201d is to ratify a record of substantial policy failure and conspicuous ideological fanaticism, dressed up for the moment in a thin promise that we won\u2019t make those mistakes again.This is the constant pattern of the Western elite over the last generation. A form of aggressive groupthink takes hold among the best and brightest, ideology gets laundered into supposed expertise or consensus, and the result is post-9\/11 debacles in Iraq and Afghanistan and Libya \u2026 or Davos-man na\u00efvet\u00e9 about the downsides of globalization and the rise of China \u2026 or Eurocrat myopia about the wisdom of a common currency, the manageability of mass migration and the true cost of Russian energy \u2026 or the recent phase of progressive mania that closed schools, legalized hard drugs, wrecked educational standards and warped curriculums, licensed dubious medical experiments in the name of transgender rights and turned the U.S. immigration system into a disaster area.Then the bill comes due, the elites backpedal and obfuscate and conveniently forget (What do you mean, Kamala Harris endorsed publicly funded gender reassignment surgery for illegal aliens? Sounds like Fox News nonsense!) and the unhappy swing voter is informed that no real price can be exacted for any of this folly, because the populist alternative isn\u2019t fit for power.And, sure enough, the great leader of American populism is currently hanging out with the far-right-influencer Laura Loomer, who\u2019s so manifestly bigoted and conspiratorial that she gives other far-right influencers hives. He\u2019s currently litigating the Biden-Harris immigration record via Facebook rumors and anti-Haitian animus. His smartest supporters premise their loyalty on the idea that he\u2019s a huge B.S. artist who probably won\u2019t actually follow through on all his promises, even as his most devout supporters stand ready to excuse excess, corruption and constitutional brinkmanship.But this unfit man was already president for four years, and for three of them his personal chaos coexisted with decent outcomes in arenas \u2014 foreign policy, inflation and immigration \u2014 where things have been much worse under the rule of the serious people, the good meritocrats, the smooth and respectable elites. And even when Covid overmastered his administration, his flailing was matched by progressivism\u2019s period of mania, and his White House still managed to keep the middle class solvent, the stock market high, and also delivered a Covid vaccine faster than almost anyone expected.All of this is more than enough to explain why this election is close, and why voters might not rubber-stamp the sudden transformation of Kamala Harris, apparatchik of progressivism, into Kamala Harris, steady hand and reasonable moderate.To the undecided voter this isn\u2019t a simple choice between stability and peril. It\u2019s a choice between two candidates and coalitions that for different reasons don\u2019t merit public confidence. And in a democracy, if you keep offering voters two bad options, you shouldn\u2019t be surprised that they will often choose the one you are sure is worse.<\/p>\n

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